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中国老年人单病种和多种心血管代谢疾病与全因死亡率的关系:一项前瞻性、全国性队列研究。

Association between single and multiple cardiometabolic diseases and all-cause mortality among Chinese older adults: A prospective, nationwide cohort study.

机构信息

School of Nursing, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, 300070, China.

Neurology Department, The Second Hospital of Tianjin Medical University, 300211, Tianjin, China.

出版信息

Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis. 2024 Nov;34(11):2570-2578. doi: 10.1016/j.numecd.2024.06.018. Epub 2024 Jun 24.

DOI:10.1016/j.numecd.2024.06.018
PMID:39098378
Abstract

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs) are leading causes of death and disability, but little is known about the additive mortality effects of multiple CMDs. This study aimed to examine the association between single and multiple CMDs and all-cause mortality among older Chinese population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Using the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey (CLHLS) database, we analyzed data from 2008 to 2018 to assess the relationship between CMDs and mortality. Cox regression models estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for single and multiple CMDs. At baseline, 11,351 participants (56.9% female) aged 60 years or older were included. 11.91% of participants had a single CMD, 1.51% had two CMDs, and 0.22% had three CMDs. Over a decade follow-up, 8992 deaths (79.2%) were recorded. A dose-response relationship was observed, with the mortality risk increasing by 17% for each additional disease. The fully-adjusted HRs for all-cause mortality were 1.16, 1.36, and 2.03 for one, two, and three CMDs, respectively. Larger effects of single and multiple CMDs were observed in the male group (P = 0.015) and the younger senior group (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

This large-scale study found that CMDs multiply mortality risks, especially in younger seniors and males. The risk is highest when heart disease and stroke coexist, and diabetes further increases it. Public health efforts should prioritize evidence-based management and prevention of CMDs.

摘要

背景与目的

心血管代谢疾病(CMDs)是导致死亡和残疾的主要原因,但对于多种 CMD 对死亡率的累加影响知之甚少。本研究旨在探讨中国老年人群中单种和多种 CMD 与全因死亡率之间的关系。

方法与结果

本研究使用中国老年健康长寿研究(CLHLS)数据库,分析了 2008 年至 2018 年的数据,以评估 CMD 与死亡率之间的关系。Cox 回归模型估计了单种和多种 CMD 的风险比(HR)和 95%置信区间(CI)。在基线时,纳入了 11351 名年龄在 60 岁及以上的参与者(56.9%为女性)。其中 11.91%的参与者患有单种 CMD,1.51%的参与者患有两种 CMD,0.22%的参与者患有三种 CMD。在超过十年的随访中,记录了 8992 例死亡(79.2%)。观察到一种疾病会使死亡率增加 17%的剂量反应关系,随着疾病数量的增加,死亡率风险呈上升趋势。全因死亡率的调整后 HR 分别为 1.16、1.36 和 2.03,对应的疾病数量分别为 1、2 和 3 种。在男性组(P=0.015)和年轻老年人组(P<0.001)中,单种和多种 CMD 的影响更大。

结论

本大规模研究发现,CMD 会使死亡率风险增加,尤其是在年轻老年人和男性中。当心脏病和中风同时存在时,风险最高,而糖尿病会进一步增加风险。公共卫生工作应优先重视基于证据的 CMD 管理和预防。

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