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资本深化与土地平均粮食产量趋同:来自中国的证据

Capital deepening and land average grain yield convergence: Evidence from China.

作者信息

Zhao Sicheng, Hong Yu, Wang Guogang

机构信息

Institute of Agricultural Economics and Development, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing, 100081, China.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 Jul 1;10(14):e33530. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e33530. eCollection 2024 Jul 30.

Abstract

The shift of agricultural labor force to non-agricultural sectors has paralleled China's economic development, leading to a substantial rise in labor costs relative to capital. Consequently, the agricultural production has witnessed a shift towards capital-intensive practices. The capital deepening coincides with the significant increase in China's grain output while the main cause of capital deepening in China's grain production is poorly understood. This study examines the effect of increasing in various capital investments on the grain yield growth and growth convergence in China's main production areas, based on the data collected from the data set of the Compilation of Cost-Benefit Data of Agricultural Products (CCBDAP). Results show that the increases of chemical fertilizer, pesticide and machinery input have played key roles in the increase of grain yield. For early indica rice, japonica rice, wheat and maize, the average land output bears a β convergence. These findings suggest that more capital investments are supposed to accelerate the growth of grain yield per unit of land, take the opportunity of practicing the cross-provincial balance system of occupation and compensation of cultivated land. Moreover, strategic adjustments to the spatial distribution of grain cultivation are recommended to maximize the utilization of limited arable land resources while upholding national food security objectives.

摘要

农业劳动力向非农部门的转移与中国的经济发展同步,导致劳动力成本相对于资本大幅上升。因此,农业生产已朝着资本密集型方式转变。资本深化与中国粮食产量的显著增加同时出现,而中国粮食生产中资本深化的主要原因却鲜为人知。本研究基于从《农产品成本收益资料汇编》数据集中收集的数据,考察了各种资本投资增加对中国主要产区粮食产量增长和增长趋同的影响。结果表明,化肥、农药和机械投入的增加对粮食产量的增加起到了关键作用。对于早籼稻、粳稻、小麦和玉米,平均土地产出呈现β收敛。这些发现表明,应增加资本投资以加速单位土地粮食产量的增长,利用实行耕地占补平衡跨省域调剂制度的契机。此外,建议对粮食种植的空间布局进行战略调整,以在维护国家粮食安全目标的同时,最大限度地利用有限的耕地资源。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ace5/11298839/3c9f74b899b0/gr1.jpg

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