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一种描述羔羊生长的动态工具及其作为决策支持系统的应用。

A Dynamic Tool to Describe Lamb Growth and Its Use as a Decision Support System.

作者信息

Amaral Rafael Marzall, Rodrigues Marcelo Teixeira, Schultz Erica Beatriz, Reis Cristiano Eduardo Rodrigues

机构信息

EARTH University, San José 4442-1000, Costa Rica.

Department of Animal Science, Federal University of Viçosa, Viçosa 36570-000, Brazil.

出版信息

Animals (Basel). 2024 Aug 2;14(15):2246. doi: 10.3390/ani14152246.

Abstract

A dynamic model has been developed to simulate aspects of feedlot lamb growth and body composition, including energy and protein requirements, growth rate, composition of gain, and body mass. Model inputs include initial body mass (kg), standard final mass (kg), age (days), and dietary energy concentration (Mcal·kg). The model was assessed as a decision support tool using a dataset of 564 individual measures of final body mass and diet energy. The simulations provide graphical and numerical descriptions of nutrient requirements, composition of gain, and estimates of animal performance over time. The model is accurate and precise, with a root mean squared error of 7.79% of the observed final body mass and a coefficient of determination of 0.89 when simulating the same variable. The model can be used as a reliable decision support tool to estimate final body mass and the days on feed required to reach a certain final mass with precision and accuracy. Moreover, the dynamic model can also serve as a learning tool to illustrate practical principles of animal nutrition, nutrient requirement relationships, and body composition changes. This model holds the potential to enhance livestock management practices and assist producers in making informed decisions about feedlot lamb production.

摘要

已开发出一个动态模型来模拟饲养场羔羊生长和身体组成的各个方面,包括能量和蛋白质需求、生长速率、增重组成和体重。模型输入包括初始体重(千克)、标准最终体重(千克)、年龄(天)和日粮能量浓度(兆卡·千克)。使用包含564个最终体重和日粮能量个体测量值的数据集,将该模型评估为一种决策支持工具。模拟结果提供了营养需求、增重组成的图形和数值描述,以及随时间变化的动物性能估计值。该模型准确且精确,在模拟相同变量时,均方根误差为观察到的最终体重的7.79%,决定系数为0.89。该模型可用作可靠的决策支持工具,以精确且准确地估计最终体重以及达到特定最终体重所需的育肥天数。此外,该动态模型还可作为一种学习工具,以阐释动物营养的实际原理、营养需求关系和身体组成变化。该模型具有改善牲畜管理实践并协助生产者就饲养场羔羊生产做出明智决策的潜力。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4a22/11311011/fa394087b3bc/animals-14-02246-g0A1.jpg

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