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铜锌比与中国成年人心血管疾病的关系:中国多民族队列(CMEC)研究。

Association Between the Copper-to-Zinc Ratio and Cardiovascular Disease Among Chinese Adults: A China Multi-ethnic Cohort (CMEC) Study.

机构信息

School of Public Health, The Key Laboratory of Environmental Pollution Monitoring and Disease Control, Ministry of Education, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 561113, China.

出版信息

Cardiovasc Toxicol. 2024 Oct;24(10):1005-1017. doi: 10.1007/s12012-024-09904-y. Epub 2024 Aug 12.

Abstract

The impact of metal exposure on cardiovascular diseases has become an increasingly concerning topic. To date, few studies have investigated the relationship between the copper-to-zinc ratio and CVD (Cardiovascular disease). This China multi-ethnic cohort study explored the association between the copper-to-zinc ratio and CVD in Chinese adults. The study included a sample size of 9878 people. Logistic regression analysis was used to examine the correlation between urinary copper, urinary zinc, and the copper-to-zinc ratio and CVD prevalence. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis was used to investigate the potential dose-response relationships among copper-to-zinc ratio, urinary copper, urinary zinc, and CVD prevalence. In addition, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression method was used to identify significant risk factors associated with CVD, leading to the development of a nomogram. The predictive performance of the nomogram model for CVD was assessed using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the curve (AUC). Compared with the copper-to-zinc ratio in Q1, the copper-to-zinc ratio in Q4 was associated with CVD after adjusting for all potential confounders (Model 3) (Q4, odds ratio [OR] 0.608, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.416-0.889, P = 0.010). After adjusting for all potential confounders (Model 3), urinary copper levels in Q4 were associated with CVD (Q4, odds ratio [OR] 0.627, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.436-0.902, P = 0.012). No significant difference was found between urinary zinc levels and CVD. The RCS showed a linear dose-response relationship between the copper-to-zinc ratio and CVD (P for overall = 0.01). The nomogram based on the influencing factors examined with LASSO showed good predictive power, and the AUC was 76.3% (95% CI 73.7-78.9%). Our results suggest that there is a significant linear negative correlation between the copper-to-zinc ratio and CVD in Chinese adults and that it has good predictive value for CVD.

摘要

金属暴露对心血管疾病的影响已成为一个日益令人关注的话题。迄今为止,很少有研究调查铜锌比与心血管疾病(CVD)之间的关系。本项中国多民族队列研究探讨了中国成年人铜锌比与 CVD 之间的关系。该研究纳入了 9878 人的样本量。采用 logistic 回归分析检验尿铜、尿锌与铜锌比和 CVD 患病率之间的相关性。采用受限立方样条(RCS)分析探讨铜锌比、尿铜、尿锌与 CVD 患病率之间的潜在剂量反应关系。此外,还采用最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)回归方法识别与 CVD 相关的显著危险因素,由此建立列线图。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线和曲线下面积(AUC)评估列线图模型预测 CVD 的性能。与 Q1 相比,在校正所有潜在混杂因素后(模型 3),Q4 中的铜锌比与 CVD 相关(Q4,比值比[OR]0.608,95%置信区间[CI]0.416-0.889,P=0.010)。在校正所有潜在混杂因素后(模型 3),Q4 中的尿铜水平与 CVD 相关(Q4,OR 0.627,95%CI 0.436-0.902,P=0.012)。尿锌水平与 CVD 之间无显著差异。RCS 显示铜锌比与 CVD 之间存在线性剂量反应关系(总体 P=0.01)。基于 LASSO 检查的影响因素建立的列线图显示出良好的预测能力,AUC 为 76.3%(95%CI 73.7-78.9%)。我们的研究结果表明,中国成年人的铜锌比与 CVD 之间存在显著的线性负相关关系,对 CVD 具有良好的预测价值。

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