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识别中国空气污染和 CO 排放协同控制的关键源。

Identifying Key Sources for Air Pollution and CO Emission Co-control in China.

机构信息

State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Environmental Pollution and Greenhouse Gases Co-control, Chinese Academy of Environmental Planning, Beijing 100041, China.

College of New Energy and Environment, Jilin University, Changchun 130012, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Technol. 2024 Sep 3;58(35):15381-15394. doi: 10.1021/acs.est.4c03299. Epub 2024 Aug 13.

DOI:10.1021/acs.est.4c03299
PMID:39136294
Abstract

China is confronting the dual challenges of air pollution and climate change, mandating the co-control of air pollutants and CO emissions from their shared sources. Here we identify key sources for co-control that prioritize the mitigation of PM-related health burdens, given the homogeneous impacts of CO emissions from various sources. By applying an integrated analysis framework that consists of a detailed emission inventory, a chemical transport model, a multisource fused dataset, and epidemiological concentration-response functions, we systematically evaluate the contribution of emissions from 390 sources (30 provinces and 13 socioeconomic sectors) to PM-related health impacts and CO emissions, as well as the marginal health benefits of CO abatement across China. The estimated source-specific contributions exhibit substantial disparities, with the marginal benefits varying by 3 orders of magnitude. The rural residential, transportation, metal, and power and heating sectors emerge as pivotal sources for co-control, with regard to their relatively large marginal benefits or the sectoral total benefits. In addition, populous and heavily industrialized provinces such as Shandong and Henan are identified as the key regions for co-control. Our study highlights the significance of incorporating health benefits into formulating air pollution and carbon co-control strategies for improving the overall social welfare.

摘要

中国面临着空气污染和气候变化的双重挑战,要求对空气污染物和共同来源的 CO 排放进行协同控制。在这里,我们确定了关键的协同控制源,这些源优先考虑减轻与 PM 相关的健康负担,因为来自各种来源的 CO 排放具有同质的影响。我们应用了一个综合分析框架,该框架由详细的排放清单、化学输送模型、多源融合数据集和流行病学浓度-反应函数组成,系统地评估了 390 个源(30 个省和 13 个社会经济部门)对与 PM 相关的健康影响和 CO 排放的贡献,以及在中国范围内 CO 减排的边际健康效益。估计的特定源贡献存在显著差异,边际效益相差 3 个数量级。农村住宅、交通、金属和电力与供热部门作为协同控制的关键部门,具有相对较大的边际效益或部门总效益。此外,人口众多、工业化程度较高的省份,如山东和河南,被确定为协同控制的关键地区。我们的研究强调了将健康效益纳入制定空气污染和碳协同控制策略的重要性,以提高整体社会福利。

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