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腹腔灌注压对腹腔高压患者的生存分析至关重要:使用不完整数据进行死亡率预测。

Abdominal perfusion pressure is critical for survival analysis in patients with intra-abdominal hypertension: mortality prediction using incomplete data.

作者信息

Xu Liang, Zhao Weijie, He Jiao, Hou Siyu, He Jialin, Zhuang Yan, Wang Ying, Yang Hua, Xiao Jingjing, Qiu Yuan

机构信息

Department of General Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of the Army Medical University.

Bio-Med Informatics Research Centre and Clinical Research Centre, The Second Affiliated Hospital of the Army Medical University.

出版信息

Int J Surg. 2025 Jan 1;111(1):371-381. doi: 10.1097/JS9.0000000000002026.

DOI:10.1097/JS9.0000000000002026
PMID:39166944
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11745648/
Abstract

BACKGROUND

Abdominal perfusion pressure (APP) is a salient feature in the design of a prognostic model for patients with intra-abdominal hypertension (IAH). However, incomplete data significantly limits the size of the beneficiary patient population in clinical practice. Using advanced artificial intelligence methods, the authors developed a robust mortality prediction model with APP from incomplete data.

METHODS

The authors retrospectively evaluated the patients with IAH from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database. Incomplete data were filled in using generative adversarial imputation nets (GAIN). Lastly, demographic, clinical, and laboratory findings were combined to build a 7-day mortality prediction model.

RESULTS

The authors included 1354 patients in this study, of which 63 features were extracted. Data imputation with GAIN achieved the best performance. Patients with an APP <60 mmHg had significantly higher all-cause mortality within 7-90 days. The difference remained significant in long-term survival even after propensity score matching (PSM) eliminated other mortality risks between groups. Lastly, the built machine learning model for 7-day modality prediction achieved the best results with an AUC of 0.80 in patients with confirmed IAH outperforming the other four traditional clinical scoring systems.

CONCLUSIONS

APP reduction is an important survival predictor affecting the survival prognosis of patients with IAH. The authors constructed a robust model to predict the 7-day mortality probability of patients with IAH, which is superior to the commonly used clinical scoring systems.

摘要

背景

腹腔灌注压(APP)是腹内高压(IAH)患者预后模型设计中的一个显著特征。然而,数据不完整在临床实践中显著限制了受益患者群体的规模。作者使用先进的人工智能方法,从不完整数据中开发了一个基于APP的强大死亡率预测模型。

方法

作者回顾性评估了重症监护医学信息数据库IV(MIMIC-IV)中的IAH患者。使用生成对抗性插补网络(GAIN)填充不完整数据。最后结合人口统计学、临床和实验室检查结果建立一个预测七天死亡率的模型。

结果

作者在本研究中纳入了1354例患者,提取了63个特征。使用GAIN进行数据插补取得了最佳效果。APP<60 mmHg的患者在7至90天内全因死亡率显著更高。即使在倾向评分匹配(PSM)消除了组间其他死亡风险后,长期生存差异仍显著。最后,所建立的用于7天模式预测的机器学习模型在确诊IAH的患者中取得了最佳结果,AUC为0.80,优于其他四个传统临床评分系统。

结论

APP降低是影响IAH患者生存预后的重要生存预测因素。作者构建了一个强大的模型来预测IAH患者的7天死亡概率,该模型优于常用的临床评分系统。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/071e/11745648/7638b5b8305a/js9-111-0371-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/071e/11745648/55c2b5952cab/js9-111-0371-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/071e/11745648/d34cd2099026/js9-111-0371-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/071e/11745648/e3f2729d032f/js9-111-0371-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/071e/11745648/a6b7a59e2650/js9-111-0371-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/071e/11745648/7638b5b8305a/js9-111-0371-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/071e/11745648/55c2b5952cab/js9-111-0371-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/071e/11745648/d34cd2099026/js9-111-0371-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/071e/11745648/e3f2729d032f/js9-111-0371-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/071e/11745648/a6b7a59e2650/js9-111-0371-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/071e/11745648/7638b5b8305a/js9-111-0371-g005.jpg

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