NSW Department of Justice, NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research, Sydney, Australia.
School of Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Technology Sydney, Sydney, Australia.
Addiction. 2024 Dec;119(12):2197-2204. doi: 10.1111/add.16648. Epub 2024 Aug 21.
Australians spend more per capita on gambling than any other country in the world. Electronic gaming machines (EGM) expenditure accounts for almost 90% of this expenditure. No study to date has conducted a rigorous longitudinal analysis of the relationship between gambling expenditure and crime. This study aimed to estimate the short- and long-run relationship between gambling expenditure and crime.
Longitudinal analysis using panel autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) modelling.
Recorded property and violent crimes committed in New South Wales (NSW), Australia, between 28 December 2015 and 5 January 2020.
Monthly gross EGM expenditure profit, broken down by Local Government Area (LGA). Monthly recorded rates of assault, break enter and steal (dwelling), break enter and steal (non-dwelling), break enter and steal (total), motor vehicle theft, stealing from a motor vehicle, stealing from a retail store, stealing from the person, stealing (total) and fraud.
Each 10% increase in gambling expenditure in NSW is associated with annual: 7.4% increase in assaults, 10.5% increase in break and enter (dwelling) offences; 10.3% increase in break and enter (non-dwelling) offences; 11% increase in motor vehicle theft offences; 8.2% increase in stealing from motor vehicle offences; and 7.4% increase in fraud offences.
Electronic gaming expenditure appears to be positively associated with property and violent crime in New South Wales, Australia.
澳大利亚人在赌博上的人均支出比世界上任何其他国家都多。电子游戏设备（EGM）支出占这一支出的近 90%。迄今为止，没有研究对赌博支出与犯罪之间的关系进行严格的纵向分析。本研究旨在估计赌博支出与犯罪之间的短期和长期关系。
使用面板自回归分布滞后（ARDL）模型进行纵向分析。
澳大利亚新南威尔士州（NSW）2015 年 12 月 28 日至 2020 年 1 月 5 日期间记录的财产和暴力犯罪。
按地方政府区域（LGA）细分的每月电子游戏设备支出利润。每月记录的袭击、闯入和盗窃（住宅）、闯入和盗窃（非住宅）、闯入和盗窃（总计）、汽车盗窃、从汽车盗窃、从零售店盗窃、从人盗窃、总盗窃和欺诈的犯罪率。
新南威尔士州赌博支出每增加 10%，每年：袭击案件增加 7.4%，闯入和盗窃（住宅）犯罪增加 10.5%；闯入和盗窃（非住宅）犯罪增加 10.3%；汽车盗窃犯罪增加 11%；从汽车盗窃犯罪增加 8.2%；欺诈犯罪增加 7.4%。
在澳大利亚新南威尔士州，电子游戏支出似乎与财产和暴力犯罪呈正相关。
