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老年患者 TAPP 术后血清肿/血肿的列线图预测模型

A nomogram prediction model for postoperative seroma/hematoma in elderly subjects after TAPP.

机构信息

Department of Hernia and Pediatric Surgery, The Affiliated Taizhou People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Taizhou Clinical Medical School of Nanjing Medical University, No. 366 Taihu Road, Taizhou City, 225300, Jiangsu Province, China.

出版信息

Hernia. 2024 Oct;28(5):1961-1967. doi: 10.1007/s10029-024-03134-5. Epub 2024 Aug 23.

DOI:10.1007/s10029-024-03134-5
PMID:39177908
Abstract

BACKGROUND

Formation of seroma/hematoma is one of the most common postoperative complications following laparoscopic inguinal hernia repair. This study aimed to identify risk factors associated with seroma/hematoma and construct a prediction model.

METHODS

Elderly subjects undergoing laparoscopic Transabdominal preperitoneal Patch Plasty (TAPP) were included in this study. The observation endpoint was set as the occurrence of seroma/hematoma within 3 months after TAPP surgery. Independent risk factors were identified through preliminary univariate screening and binary logistic regression analysis. These risk factors were then used to construct a nomogram predictive model using R software.

RESULTS

A total of 330 patients were included in the analysis, of which 51 developed seroma/hematoma, resulting in an incidence rate of 15.5%. Obesity (OR: 3.54, 95%CI: 1.45-8.66, P = 0.006), antithrombotic drug use (OR: 2.73, 95%CI: 1.06-7.03, P = 0.037), C-reactive protein (CRP) ≥ 8 (OR: 2.72, 95%CI: 1.04-7.10, P = 0.041, albumin/fibrinogen ratio (AFR) < 7.85 (OR: 2.99, 95%CI: 1.28-7.00, P = 0.012), and lymphocyte/monocyte ratio (LMR) < 4.05 (OR: 12.62, 95%CI: 5.69-28.01, P < 0.001) were five independent risk factors for seroma/hematoma. The nomogram model has well predictive value for seroma/hematoma, with an AUC of 0.879.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram model based on obesity, antithrombotic drug, CRP, AFR, and LMR has a proved good predictive value and it has potential in clinical practice.

摘要

背景

血清肿/血肿的形成是腹腔镜腹股沟疝修补术后最常见的并发症之一。本研究旨在确定与血清肿/血肿相关的危险因素,并构建预测模型。

方法

本研究纳入了接受腹腔镜经腹腹膜前补片修补术(TAPP)的老年患者。观察终点设定为 TAPP 手术后 3 个月内发生血清肿/血肿。通过初步单因素筛选和二元逻辑回归分析确定独立危险因素。然后使用 R 软件构建列线图预测模型。

结果

共纳入 330 例患者,其中 51 例发生血清肿/血肿,发生率为 15.5%。肥胖(OR:3.54,95%CI:1.45-8.66,P=0.006)、使用抗血栓药物(OR:2.73,95%CI:1.06-7.03,P=0.037)、C 反应蛋白(CRP)≥8(OR:2.72,95%CI:1.04-7.10,P=0.041)、白蛋白/纤维蛋白原比值(AFR)<7.85(OR:2.99,95%CI:1.28-7.00,P=0.012)和淋巴细胞/单核细胞比值(LMR)<4.05(OR:12.62,95%CI:5.69-28.01,P<0.001)是血清肿/血肿的五个独立危险因素。列线图模型对血清肿/血肿具有良好的预测价值,AUC 为 0.879。

结论

基于肥胖、抗血栓药物、CRP、AFR 和 LMR 的列线图模型具有良好的预测价值,在临床实践中有一定的应用潜力。

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本文引用的文献

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Modified Frailty Index and Albumin-Fibrinogen Ratio Predicts Postoperative Seroma After Laparoscopic TAPP.改良衰弱指数和白蛋白-纤维蛋白原比值预测腹腔镜经腹腹膜前疝修补术后血清肿。
Clin Interv Aging. 2023 Aug 22;18:1397-1403. doi: 10.2147/CIA.S418338. eCollection 2023.
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Albumin-to-fibrinogen ratio is an independent predictor of corticosteroid response and prognosis in patients with IgA nephropathy.白蛋白-纤维蛋白原比值是 IgA 肾病患者糖皮质激素反应和预后的独立预测因子。
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Inguinal Hernia Repair in Older Persons.
老年人腹股沟疝修补术。
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Investigation of risk factors for postoperative seroma/hematoma after TAPP.经腹腹膜前疝修补术后血清肿/血肿的危险因素研究。
Surg Endosc. 2022 Jul;36(7):4741-4747. doi: 10.1007/s00464-021-08814-2. Epub 2021 Oct 28.
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Prognostic value of lymphocyte to monocyte ratio in pancreatic cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis including 3338 patients.淋巴细胞与单核细胞比值在胰腺癌中的预后价值:一项纳入3338例患者的系统评价和荟萃分析
World J Surg Oncol. 2020 Jul 25;18(1):186. doi: 10.1186/s12957-020-01962-0.
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World J Surg Oncol. 2020 Jan 13;18(1):9. doi: 10.1186/s12957-020-1786-2.
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