Yan Zuyi, Liu Zixin, Zhu Guodong, Lu Mengtian, Zhang Jiyun, Liu Maotong, Jiang Jifeng, Gu Chunyan, Wu Xiaomeng, Zhang Tao, Zhang Xueqin
Nantong University, Nantong 226006, Jiangsu, China (Z.Y., Z.L., M.L.); Department of Radiology, Nantong Third People's Hospital, Nantong 226006, Jiangsu, China (Z.Y., Z.L., M.L., J.Z., M.L., J.J., T.Z., X.Z.); Department of Radiology, Affiliated Nantong Hospital 3 of Nantong University, Nantong 226006, Jiangsu, China (Z.Y., Z.L., M.L., J.Z., M.L., J.J., T.Z., X.Z.).
Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Affiliated Nantong Hospital 3 of Nantong University, Nantong Third People's Hospital, Nantong 226006, Jiangsu, China (G.Z.).
Acad Radiol. 2025 Jan;32(1):157-169. doi: 10.1016/j.acra.2024.07.040. Epub 2024 Aug 24.
Proliferative hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is associated with high invasiveness and poor prognosis. This study aimed to investigate the preoperative risk prediction and prognostic value of different radiomics models and a nomogram for proliferative HCC.
Patients were randomly divided into a training cohort (n = 156) and a validation cohort (n = 66) in a 7:3 ratio. Original and delta (the different value between imaging features extracted from two different phases) radiomics features were extracted from T1-weighted imaging (T1WI), arterial, and hepatobiliary phases to construct models using different machine learning algorithms. Logistic regression was used to select clinical independent risk factors. A nomogram was constructed by integrating the optimal radiomics model score with independent risk factors. The diagnostic efficacy and clinical utility of the models were assessed. Subsequently, patients were stratified into high-risk and low-risk subgroups based on radiomics model scores and nomogram scores, and both recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were evaluated.
Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that BCLC stage and combined radscore were independent predictors of proliferative HCC. The area under the curve (AUC) of the nomogram incorporating these factors was 0.838 and 0.801 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively, with good predictive performance. Multivariate Cox regression analysis shows that the delta radiomics model (DR)-predicted proliferative HCC can independently predict RFS and OS, with scores from the delta radiomics model performing best in prognostic risk stratification.
The nomogram can effectively predict proliferative HCC, while different radiomics models and the nomogram can offer varying prognostic stratification values.
增殖性肝细胞癌(HCC)具有高侵袭性和不良预后。本研究旨在探讨不同的放射组学模型和列线图对增殖性HCC的术前风险预测及预后价值。
患者按7:3的比例随机分为训练队列(n = 156)和验证队列(n = 66)。从T1加权成像(T1WI)、动脉期和肝胆期提取原始及增量(从两个不同期相提取的影像特征之间的差值)放射组学特征,使用不同的机器学习算法构建模型。采用逻辑回归选择临床独立危险因素。通过将最佳放射组学模型评分与独立危险因素相结合构建列线图。评估模型的诊断效能和临床实用性。随后,根据放射组学模型评分和列线图评分将患者分为高风险和低风险亚组,评估无复发生存期(RFS)和总生存期(OS)。
多因素逻辑回归分析显示,BCLC分期和联合radscore是增殖性HCC的独立预测因素。纳入这些因素的列线图在训练队列和验证队列中的曲线下面积(AUC)分别为0.838和0.801,具有良好的预测性能。多因素Cox回归分析显示,增量放射组学模型(DR)预测的增殖性HCC可独立预测RFS和OS,增量放射组学模型的评分在预后风险分层中表现最佳。
列线图可有效预测增殖性HCC,而不同的放射组学模型和列线图可提供不同的预后分层价值。