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优化作物种植时间表,以适应刚果民主共和国(DRC)东部南基伍省的气候变化和 yam 农业

Crop calendar optimization for climate change adaptation in yam farming in South-Kivu, eastern D.R. Congo.

机构信息

Faculty of Agriculture and Environmental Sciences, Université Evangélique en Afrique (UEA), Bukavu, Democratic Republic of Congo.

Doctoral School of Agroecology and Climate Sciences, Université Evangélique en Afrique (UEA), Bukavu, Democratic Republic of Congo.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 Sep 4;19(9):e0309775. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0309775. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

The traditional crop calendar for yam (Dioscorea spp.) in South-Kivu, eastern Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), is becoming increasingly inadequate given the significant climatic variability observed over the last three decades. This study aimed at: (i) assessing trends in weather data across time and space to ascertain climate change, and (ii) optimizing the yam crop calendar for various South-Kivu agro-ecological zones (AEZs) to adapt to the changing climate. The 1990-2022 weather data series were downloaded from the NASA-MERRA platform, bias correction was carried out using local weather stations' records, and analyses were performed using RClimDex 1.9. Local knowledge and CROPWAT 8.0 were used to define planting dates for yam in different AEZs. Results showed the existence of four AEZs in the South-Kivu province, with contrasting altitudes, temperatures, and rainfall patterns. Climate change is real in all these South-Kivu's AEZs, resulting either in rainfall deficits in some areas, or extreme rainfall events in others, with significant temperature increases across all AEZs. Suitable yam planting dates varied with AEZs, September 15th and 20th were recommended for the AEZ 2 while October 15th was optimal for AEZ 1, AEZ 3, and AEZ 4. However, none of the planting date scenarios could meet the yam water requirements in AEZ1, AEZ3, and AEZ4, since the effective rainfall (Pmm) was always inferior to the plant water demand (ETc), meaning that soil water conservation practices are needed for optimum plant growth and yield in these AEZs. This study does not recommend planting yam during the short rainy season owing to prolonged droughts coinciding with critical growth phases of yam, unless supplemental irrigation is envisaged. This study provided insights on the nature of climate change across the past three decades and suggested a yam crop calendar that suits the changing climate of eastern DRC.

摘要

在过去三十年中,观察到的气候显著变化使得传统的刚果民主共和国(DRC)南基伍省山药作物日历越来越不适用。本研究旨在:(i)评估时间和空间上的天气数据趋势,以确定气候变化,以及(ii)优化南基伍不同农业生态区(AEZ)的山药作物日历,以适应不断变化的气候。1990-2022 年的天气数据系列从 NASA-MERRA 平台下载,使用当地气象站的记录进行了偏差校正,并使用 RClimDex 1.9 进行了分析。利用当地知识和 CROPWAT 8.0 来确定不同 AEZ 中山药的种植日期。结果表明,南基伍省存在四个 AEZ,具有不同的海拔、温度和降雨模式。所有这些南基伍 AEZ 都存在气候变化,一些地区出现降雨不足,另一些地区出现极端降雨事件,所有 AEZ 的温度都显著升高。适合山药种植的日期因 AEZ 而异,建议在 AEZ2 中 9 月 15 日和 20 日种植,在 AEZ1 中 10 月 15 日种植。然而,在 AEZ1、AEZ3 和 AEZ4 中,没有一个种植日期方案能够满足山药的水分需求,因为有效降雨量(Pmm)始终低于植物需水量(ETc),这意味着需要采取土壤保水措施,以实现这些 AEZ 中植物的最佳生长和产量。除非设想补充灌溉,否则本研究不建议在短雨季种植山药,因为与山药关键生长阶段同时发生的干旱期较长。本研究提供了过去三十年气候变化性质的见解,并提出了适合刚果民主共和国东部不断变化的气候的山药作物日历。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4d21/11373801/3af9206187b2/pone.0309775.g001.jpg

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