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全球尺度城市降水异常评估。

Global scale assessment of urban precipitation anomalies.

作者信息

Sui Xinxin, Yang Zong-Liang, Shepherd Marshall, Niyogi Dev

机构信息

Maseeh Department of Civil Architectural and Environmental Engineering, Cockrell School of Engineering, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712.

Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Jackson School of Geosciences, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712.

出版信息

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2024 Sep 17;121(38):e2311496121. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2311496121. Epub 2024 Sep 9.

Abstract

Urbanization has accelerated dramatically across the world over the past decades. Urban influence on surface temperatures is now being considered as a correction term in climatological datasets. Although prior research has investigated urban influences on precipitation for specific cities or selected thunderstorm cases, a comprehensive examination of urban precipitation anomalies on a global scale remains limited. This research is a global analysis of urban precipitation anomalies for over one thousand cities worldwide. We find that more than 60% of the global cities and their downwind regions are receiving more precipitation than the surrounding rural areas. Moreover, the magnitude of these urban wet islands has nearly doubled in the past 20 y. Urban precipitation anomalies exhibit variations across different continents and climates, with cities in Africa, for example, exhibiting the largest urban annual and extreme precipitation anomalies. Cities are more prone to substantial urban precipitation anomalies under warm and humid climates compared to cold and dry climates. Cities with larger populations, pronounced urban heat island effects, and higher aerosol loads also show noticeable precipitation enhancements. This research maps global urban rainfall hotspots, establishing a foundation for the consideration of urban rainfall corrections in climatology datasets. This advancement holds promise for projecting extreme precipitation and fostering the development of more resilient cities in the future.

摘要

在过去几十年里,全球城市化进程急剧加速。城市对地表温度的影响如今正被视为气候数据集的一个校正项。尽管先前的研究已经针对特定城市或选定的雷暴案例调查了城市对降水的影响,但在全球范围内对城市降水异常进行全面考察仍然有限。本研究是对全球一千多个城市的城市降水异常进行的全球分析。我们发现,全球超过60%的城市及其下风区域的降水量比周边农村地区更多。此外,在过去20年里,这些城市湿岛的规模几乎翻了一番。城市降水异常在不同大陆和气候条件下呈现出差异,例如非洲的城市呈现出最大的城市年降水量和极端降水异常。与寒冷干燥的气候相比,在温暖湿润的气候条件下,城市更容易出现显著的城市降水异常。人口较多、城市热岛效应明显和气溶胶负荷较高的城市也表现出明显的降水增加。本研究绘制了全球城市降雨热点图,为在气候数据集里考虑城市降雨校正奠定了基础。这一进展有望用于预测极端降水,并在未来推动更具韧性城市的发展。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/92d7/11420207/8762d7141b8d/pnas.2311496121fig01.jpg

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