Department of Emergency, The Third Affiliated to Shanghai University, Wenzhou People's Hospital, No. 299 Guan Road, Louqiao Street, Ouhai District, Wenzhou, 325000, Zhejiang, China.
Department of Scientific Research Center, The Third Affiliated to Shanghai University, Wenzhou People's Hospital, Wenzhou, 325000, Zhejiang, China.
Eur J Med Res. 2024 Sep 9;29(1):453. doi: 10.1186/s40001-024-02049-2.
Acute liver failure (ALF) following cardiac arrest (CA) poses a significant healthcare challenge, characterized by high morbidity and mortality rates. This study aims to assess the correlation between serum alkaline phosphatase (ALP) levels and poor outcomes in patients with ALF following CA.
A retrospective analysis was conducted utilizing data from the Dryad digital repository. The primary outcomes examined were intensive care unit (ICU) mortality, hospital mortality, and unfavorable neurological outcome. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was employed to assess the relationship between serum ALP levels and clinical prognosis. The predictive value was evaluated using receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Two prediction models were developed, and model comparison was performed using the likelihood ratio test (LRT) and the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC).
A total of 194 patients were included in the analysis (72.2% male). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that a one-standard deviation increase of ln-transformed ALP were independently associated with poorer prognosis: ICU mortality (odds ratios (OR) = 2.49, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.31-4.74, P = 0.005), hospital mortality (OR = 2.21, 95% CI 1.18-4.16, P = 0.014), and unfavorable neurological outcome (OR = 2.40, 95% CI 1.25-4.60, P = 0.009). The area under the ROC curve for clinical prognosis was 0.644, 0.642, and 0.639, respectively. Additionally, LRT analyses indicated that the ALP-combined model exhibited better predictive efficacy than the model without ALP.
Elevated serum ALP levels upon admission were significantly associated with poorer prognosis of ALF following CA, suggesting its potential as a valuable marker for predicting prognosis in this patient population.
心脏骤停(CA)后发生的急性肝衰竭(ALF)是一个重大的医疗保健挑战,其特点是发病率和死亡率高。本研究旨在评估血清碱性磷酸酶(ALP)水平与 CA 后 ALF 患者不良结局之间的相关性。
利用 Dryad 数字资源库中的数据进行回顾性分析。主要观察终点为重症监护病房(ICU)死亡率、医院死亡率和不良神经结局。采用多变量逻辑回归分析评估血清 ALP 水平与临床预后之间的关系。使用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析评估预测价值。开发了两个预测模型,并使用似然比检验(LRT)和赤池信息量准则(AIC)进行模型比较。
共纳入 194 例患者(72.2%为男性)。多变量逻辑回归分析显示,ln 转换后的 ALP 每增加一个标准差与预后不良独立相关:ICU 死亡率(比值比(OR)=2.49,95%置信区间(CI)1.31-4.74,P=0.005)、医院死亡率(OR=2.21,95%CI 1.18-4.16,P=0.014)和不良神经结局(OR=2.40,95%CI 1.25-4.60,P=0.009)。ROC 曲线下面积分别为 0.644、0.642 和 0.639。此外,LRT 分析表明,ALP 联合模型的预测效果优于不包含 ALP 的模型。
入院时血清 ALP 水平升高与 CA 后 ALF 的预后不良显著相关,提示其可能成为预测该患者人群预后的有价值标志物。