Vergara-Vásquez Eliana, Hernández Beleño Luis M, Castrillo-Borja Tailin T, Bolaño-Ortíz Tomás R, Camargo-Caicedo Yiniva, Vélez-Pereira Andrés M
Programa de Ingeniería Ambiental y Sanitaria, Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad del Magdalena, Santa Marta, Colombia.
Grupo de Investigación en Modelación de Sistemas Ambientales (GIMSA), Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad del Magdalena, Santa Marta, Colombia.
Heliyon. 2024 Aug 15;10(16):e36284. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e36284. eCollection 2024 Aug 30.
The relevance of atmospheric particulate matter (PM) to health and the environment is widely known. Long-term studies are necessary for understanding current and future trends in air quality management. This study aimed to assess the long-term PM concentration in the Magdalena department (Colombia). It focused on the following aspects: i) spatiotemporal patterns, ii) correlation with meteorology, iii) compliance with standards, iv) temporal trends over time, v) impact on health, and vi) impact of policy management. Fifteen stations from 2003 to 2021 were analyzed. Spearman-Rho and Mann-Kendall methods were used to correlate concentration with meteorology. The temporal and five-year moving trends were determined, and the trend magnitude was calculated using Teil-Sen. Acute respiratory infection odd ratios and risk of cancer associated with PM concentration were used to assess the impact on health. The study found that the maximum PM concentration was 194.5 μg/m, and the minimum was 3 μg/m. In all stations, a negative correlation was observed between PM and atmospheric water content, while the wind speed and temperature showed a positive correlation. The global trends indicated an increasing value, with five fluctuations in five-year moving trends, consistent with PM sources and socio-economic behavior. PM concentrations were found to comply with national standard; however, the results showed a potential impact on population health. The management regulation had a limited impact on increasing concentration. Considering that national regulations tend to converge towards WHO standards, the study area must create a management program to ensure compliance.
大气颗粒物(PM)与健康和环境的相关性广为人知。长期研究对于了解空气质量管理的当前和未来趋势至关重要。本研究旨在评估马格达莱纳省(哥伦比亚)的长期PM浓度。它聚焦于以下几个方面:i)时空模式,ii)与气象学的相关性,iii)是否符合标准,iv)随时间的时间趋势,v)对健康的影响,以及vi)政策管理的影响。分析了2003年至2021年期间的15个监测站。使用Spearman-Rho和Mann-Kendall方法将浓度与气象学进行关联。确定了时间趋势和五年移动趋势,并使用泰尔-森方法计算趋势幅度。使用与PM浓度相关的急性呼吸道感染比值比和癌症风险来评估对健康的影响。研究发现,PM的最高浓度为194.5μg/m,最低浓度为3μg/m。在所有监测站,PM与大气含水量之间呈负相关,而风速和温度呈正相关。全球趋势表明数值在增加,五年移动趋势中有五次波动,这与PM来源和社会经济行为一致。发现PM浓度符合国家标准;然而,结果显示对人群健康有潜在影响。管理规定对浓度增加的影响有限。鉴于国家法规倾向于向世界卫生组织标准靠拢,研究区域必须制定管理计划以确保合规。