Higuchi Satoshi, Matsumoto Hidenari, Masaki Ryota, Kondo Seita, Mochizuki Yasuhide, Fuse Shiori, Toyosaki Eiji, Masuda Tomoaki, Maruta Kazuto, Omoto Tadashi, Aoki Atsushi, Shinke Toshiro
Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, School of Medicine, Showa University, Shinagawa, Tokyo, Japan.
Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, School of Medicine, Showa University, Shinagawa, Tokyo, Japan.
Heliyon. 2024 Aug 23;10(17):e36724. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e36724. eCollection 2024 Sep 15.
Older candidates for transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) frequently present with both cardiac and noncardiac comorbidities. There are few risk scores that evaluate a wide range of comorbidities.
Patients who underwent TAVR for severe aortic stenosis were retrospectively evaluated. A new prediction model (Cardiac and nonCardiac Comorbidities risk score: 3C score) was determined based on coefficient in the multivariate Cox regression analysis for two-year all-cause mortality. -statistics were assessed to compare the predictive abilities of the 3C score, the Charlson Comorbidities Index (CCI) score, the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) II, and the Model for End-stage Liver Disease eXcluding International normalized ratio (MELD-XI) score.
The present study included 226 patients (age, 86 ± 5 years; males, 38 %). The values of the CCI score, EuroSCORE II, and MELD-XI score were 2 (1-3), 3.36 (2.12-4.58), and 5.35 (3.05-8.55), respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified two cardiac (left ventricular ejection fraction [LVEF] <40 % [2 points]; pulmonary hypertension [1 point]) and three noncardiac comorbidities (hepatobiliary system impairment [3 points]; estimated glomerular filtration rate <30 ml/min/1.73 m [1 point]; cachexia [1 point]). The -statistics of the 3C score, EuroSCORE II, MELD-XI score, and CCI score were 0.767 (0.666-0.867), 0.610 (0.491-0.729), 0.580 (0.465-0.696), and 0.476 (0.356-0.596), respectively (p < 0.001).
Among cardiac and noncardiac comorbidities, special attention should be given to hepatobiliary system impairment and reduced LVEF in older patients following TAVR. The 3C score may contribute to the risk stratification.
经导管主动脉瓣置换术(TAVR)的老年患者常伴有心脏和非心脏合并症。很少有风险评分能评估多种合并症。
对因严重主动脉瓣狭窄接受TAVR的患者进行回顾性评估。基于多变量Cox回归分析中两年全因死亡率的系数,确定了一种新的预测模型(心脏和非心脏合并症风险评分:3C评分)。评估统计量以比较3C评分、查尔森合并症指数(CCI)评分、欧洲心脏手术风险评估系统(EuroSCORE)II和终末期肝病模型排除国际标准化比值(MELD-XI)评分的预测能力。
本研究纳入226例患者(年龄,86±5岁;男性,38%)。CCI评分、EuroSCORE II评分和MELD-XI评分分别为2(1-3)、3.36(2.12-4.58)和5.35(3.05-8.55)。多变量Cox回归分析确定了两种心脏合并症(左心室射血分数[LVEF]<40%[2分];肺动脉高压[1分])和三种非心脏合并症(肝胆系统损害[3分];估计肾小球滤过率<30 ml/min/1.73 m²[1分];恶病质[1分])。3C评分、EuroSCORE II评分、MELD-XI评分和CCI评分的统计量分别为0.767(0.666-0.867)、0.610(0.491-0.729)、0.580(0.465-0.696)和0.476(0.356-0.596)(p<0.001)。
在心脏和非心脏合并症中,TAVR术后老年患者应特别关注肝胆系统损害和LVEF降低。3C评分可能有助于风险分层。