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儿科死亡风险(PRISM IV)评分在住院24小时和72小时时对儿科重症监护病房(PICU)中重症儿科患者死亡率的预测作用。

Role of pediatric risk of mortality (PRISM IV) score at 24 and 72 hours of hospitalization in predicting mortality among critically ill pediatric patients treated in PICU.

作者信息

Lubis Aridamuriany D, Nasution Badai B, Lubis Andriamuri P, Supriami Kelvin

机构信息

Department of Pediatrics, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Sumatera Utara, Medan, Indonesia.

Department of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Sumatera Utara, Medan, Indonesia.

出版信息

Narra J. 2024 Aug;4(2):e780. doi: 10.52225/narra.v4i2.780. Epub 2024 Jul 12.

Abstract

Pediatric patients with multiple organ failures in the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) are at a higher risk of mortality. Assessing the mortality risk when patients are admitted to PICU is important to allocate treatment and care properly. The aim of this study was to compare the performance of the PRISM IV score within the first 24 and 72 hours to predict mortality in the PICU. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data were collected to compute the PRISM IV in the first 24 and 72 hours among critically ill pediatric patients in the PICU at H. Adam Malik General Hospital, Medan, Indonesia, from April 2021 to February 2022. The comparison of the PRISM IV scores and its components within the first 24 and 72 hours was analyzed using the Wilcoxon test, Student's independent t-test or McNemar test. The role of PRISM IV score in predicting mortality was assessed using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Out of 35 pediatric patients, 17 (48.6%) of them died. Platelet count (=0.022), pCO (=0.026), HCO (=0.009), total CO (=0.015), and base excess (=0.001) were statistically different between 24 and 72 hours groups. The area under curve (AUC) for the first 24 hours using PRISM IV scores was 47.4% with =0.792 (95%CI, 27.7%-67.1%). Meanwhile, the AUC of 72 hours group was 65.4%, =0.121 (95%CI, 47.1%-83.6%). This study suggested that PRISM IV scores in the first 24 and 72 hours may not be a reliable screening tool for predicting mortality. However, further studies are suggested to validate these findings.

摘要

儿科重症监护病房(PICU)中患有多器官功能衰竭的儿科患者死亡风险更高。在患者入住PICU时评估其死亡风险对于合理分配治疗和护理至关重要。本研究的目的是比较PRISM IV评分在前24小时和72小时内预测PICU患者死亡率的性能。收集了印度尼西亚棉兰市H. Adam Malik综合医院PICU中危重症儿科患者在前24小时和72小时的人口统计学、临床和实验室数据,以计算PRISM IV评分。使用Wilcoxon检验、Student独立t检验或McNemar检验分析前24小时和72小时内PRISM IV评分及其组成部分的比较。使用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估PRISM IV评分在预测死亡率中的作用。在35名儿科患者中,17名(48.6%)死亡。血小板计数(=0.022)、pCO(=0.026)、HCO(=0.009)、总CO(=0.015)和碱剩余(=0.001)在24小时组和72小时组之间存在统计学差异。使用PRISM IV评分在前24小时的曲线下面积(AUC)为47.4%,=0.792(95%CI,27.7%-67.1%)。同时,72小时组的AUC为65.4%,=0.121(95%CI,47.1%-83.6%)。本研究表明,前24小时和72小时的PRISM IV评分可能不是预测死亡率的可靠筛查工具。然而,建议进一步研究以验证这些发现。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f46a/11391999/f438133c38b9/NarraJ-4-e780-g001.jpg

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