Prognostic factors and overall survival in pelvic Ewing's sarcoma and chordoma: A comparative SEER database analysis.

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to develop and validate nomograms to predict overall survival (OS) for pelvic Ewing's sarcoma (EWS) and chordoma, identify prognostic factors, and compare outcomes between the two conditions.

METHODS

We identified patients diagnosed with pelvic EWS or chordoma from the SEER database (2001-2019). Independent risk factors were identified using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses, and these factors were used to construct nomograms predicting 3-, 5-, and 10-year OS. Validation methods included AUC, calibration plots, C-index, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests compared survival differences between low- and high-risk groups.

RESULTS

The study included 1175 patients (EWS: 611, chordoma: 564). Both groups were randomly divided into training (70 %) and validation (30 %) cohorts. OS was significantly higher for chordoma. Multivariate analysis showed year of diagnosis, income, stage, and surgery were significant for EWS survival, while age, time to treatment, stage, and surgery were significant for chordoma survival. Validation showed the nomograms had strong predictive performance and clinical utility.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomograms reliably predict overall survival (OS) in pelvic EWS and chordoma, helping to identify high-risk patients early and guide preventive measures. The study also found that survival rates are significantly higher for chordoma, highlighting different prognostic profiles between EWS and chordoma.