Xu Haoli, Yang Xing, Hu Yihua, Wang Daqing, Liang Zhenyu, Mu Hua, Wang Yangyang, Shi Liang, Gao Haoqi, Song Daoqing, Cheng Zijian, Lu Zhao, Zhao Xiaoning, Lu Jun, Wang Bingwen, Hu Zhiyang
State Key Laboratory of Pulsed Power Laser, College of Electronic Engineering, National University of Defense Technology, Hefei, 230037, China.
Jianghuai Advance Technology Center, Hefei, 230000, China.
Environ Sci Ecotechnol. 2024 Aug 23;22:100479. doi: 10.1016/j.ese.2024.100479. eCollection 2024 Nov.
Environmental assessments are critical for ensuring the sustainable development of human civilization. The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) in these assessments has shown great promise, yet the "black box" nature of AI models often undermines trust due to the lack of transparency in their decision-making processes, even when these models demonstrate high accuracy. To address this challenge, we evaluated the performance of a transformer model against other AI approaches, utilizing extensive multivariate and spatiotemporal environmental datasets encompassing both natural and anthropogenic indicators. We further explored the application of saliency maps as a novel explainability tool in multi-source AI-driven environmental assessments, enabling the identification of individual indicators' contributions to the model's predictions. We find that the transformer model outperforms others, achieving an accuracy of about 98% and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.891. Regionally, the environmental assessment values are predominantly classified as level II or III in the central and southwestern study areas, level IV in the northern region, and level V in the western region. Through explainability analysis, we identify that water hardness, total dissolved solids, and arsenic concentrations are the most influential indicators in the model. Our AI-driven environmental assessment model is accurate and explainable, offering actionable insights for targeted environmental management. Furthermore, this study advances the application of AI in environmental science by presenting a robust, explainable model that bridges the gap between machine learning and environmental governance, enhancing both understanding and trust in AI-assisted environmental assessments.
环境评估对于确保人类文明的可持续发展至关重要。人工智能(AI)在这些评估中的整合已展现出巨大潜力,然而,即使这些模型显示出高精度,由于其决策过程缺乏透明度,AI模型的“黑箱”性质往往会削弱人们的信任。为应对这一挑战,我们利用包含自然和人为指标的广泛多变量和时空环境数据集,将一种变压器模型的性能与其他AI方法进行了评估。我们进一步探索了显著性图作为一种新型可解释性工具在多源AI驱动的环境评估中的应用,从而能够识别各个指标对模型预测的贡献。我们发现变压器模型的性能优于其他模型,准确率约为98%,接收器操作特征曲线(AUC)下的面积为0.891。在区域上,中部和西南部研究区域的环境评估值主要分类为二级或三级,北部地区为四级,西部地区为五级。通过可解释性分析,我们确定水硬度、总溶解固体和砷浓度是模型中最具影响力的指标。我们的AI驱动的环境评估模型准确且可解释,为有针对性的环境管理提供了可操作的见解。此外,本研究通过提出一个强大的、可解释的模型,弥合了机器学习与环境治理之间的差距,增强了对AI辅助环境评估的理解和信任,推动了AI在环境科学中的应用。