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基于278个城市多期双重差分检验的新型城镇化建设与城市经济韧性

New urbanization construction and city economic resilience-based on multi-period DID tests for 278 cities.

作者信息

Li Fanglin, Diao Ziyu

机构信息

School of Finance and Economics, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, Jiangsu, 212013, China.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 Aug 25;10(17):e36605. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e36605. eCollection 2024 Sep 15.

DOI:10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e36605
PMID:39296071
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11407932/
Abstract

As a key measure to realize Chinese-style modernization, the construction of new urbanization injects new vitality into China 's urban economic growth by building a modern industrial system, and it is also of great significance to improve urban economic resilience. This study examines data from 278 Chinese cities spanning the period 2006-2022, utilizing a multi-period Difference-in-Differences model and a moderating effect model to investigate the impact of new urbanization on cities' economic resilience. The findings indicate that the adoption of modern urbanization significantly enhances cities' economic resilience. Notably, when examined from the perspectives of geographical location, urban scale, urban agglomeration, and urban economic development level, the impact of new urbanization is particularly pronounced in the eastern region, small cities, non-urban agglomeration cities, and cities with lower levels of economic development. The mechanism test demonstrates that new urbanization affects cities' economic resilience by fostering technological innovation and upgrading the industrial structure. Essentially, technological innovation and industrial restructuring serve as intermediaries in fortifying economic resilience through the implementation of new urbanization. As a result, recommendations are formulated to bolster the resilience of urban economies.

摘要

作为实现中国式现代化的关键举措,新型城镇化建设通过构建现代产业体系为中国城市经济增长注入新活力,对提升城市经济韧性也具有重要意义。本研究考察了2006年至2022年期间中国278个城市的数据,运用多期双重差分模型和调节效应模型来探究新型城镇化对城市经济韧性的影响。研究结果表明,推进新型城镇化显著增强了城市的经济韧性。值得注意的是,从地理位置、城市规模、城市群以及城市经济发展水平等角度考察时,新型城镇化的影响在东部地区、小城市、非城市群城市以及经济发展水平较低的城市中尤为显著。机制检验表明,新型城镇化通过促进技术创新和产业结构升级来影响城市的经济韧性。从本质上讲,技术创新和产业结构调整是通过实施新型城镇化来增强经济韧性的中介因素。据此提出了增强城市经济韧性的建议。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7673/11407932/38084fc2e4df/gr2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7673/11407932/de126ecdeba6/gr1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7673/11407932/38084fc2e4df/gr2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7673/11407932/de126ecdeba6/gr1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7673/11407932/38084fc2e4df/gr2.jpg

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Research on the relationship between population distribution pattern and urban industrial facility agglomeration in China.
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