Liu Yejin, Yang Meirong, Cui Jiahui
Capital University of Economics and Business, No. 121, Zhangjia Road, Fengtai District, 100070, Beijing, China.
Heliyon. 2023 Dec 17;10(1):e23772. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e23772. eCollection 2024 Jan 15.
Are Chinese cities too agglomerated, and are production factors continuing to flow to cities?In recent years, research on this issue has attracted more and more attention from academics, for the research on this issue, academics generally believe that urbanization has a positive role in promoting economic growth, but whether urbanization will bring economic agglomeration and what is the role of economic agglomeration on the development of the economy? The research on this issue is still insufficient, therefore, Based on the panel data of 27 provinces from 2006 to 2020, it is generally believed that urbanization has a positive role in promoting economic growth. This paper adds economic agglomeration factors and uses a spatial econometric model to test the spillover effect of urbanization growth. The main conclusions are as follows: First, urbanization and economic agglomeration have a positive effect on economic growth, and there is a spatial spillover effect. Secondly, the advancement of urbanization is closely associated with economic growth, particularly in relation to the development of economic agglomeration. When economic agglomeration is based on a single-center model, it tends to impede urbanization and economic progress. In contrast, an economic agglomeration model with multiple centers has the potential to stimulate urbanization and further enhance economic growth. Thirdly, it is worth noting that the influence of urbanization on economic growth varies across different regions. Factors such as geographical location, resource availability, and local economic conditions contribute to this regional variation.
中国城市是否过于集聚，生产要素是否仍在持续流向城市？近年来，学术界对这一问题的研究越来越受到关注。对于这一问题的研究，学术界普遍认为城市化对经济增长具有积极的促进作用，但城市化是否会带来经济集聚，以及经济集聚对经济发展的作用是什么？对此问题的研究仍显不足。因此，基于2006年至2020年27个省份的面板数据，人们普遍认为城市化对经济增长具有积极的促进作用。本文加入经济集聚因素，运用空间计量模型检验城市化增长的溢出效应。主要结论如下：第一，城市化和经济集聚对经济增长具有正向作用，且存在空间溢出效应。第二，城市化的推进与经济增长密切相关，特别是与经济集聚的发展相关。当经济集聚基于单中心模式时，它往往会阻碍城市化和经济进步。相比之下，多中心的经济集聚模式有可能促进城市化并进一步推动经济增长。第三，值得注意的是，城市化对经济增长的影响在不同地区存在差异。地理位置、资源可得性和当地经济条件等因素导致了这种区域差异。
