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埃塞俄比亚中部小农户奶业生产中一些重要性状的经济价值。

Economic values of some important traits for smallholder dairy production in Central Ethiopia.

机构信息

Ethiopian Institute of Agricultural Research, Holetta Center, Holetta, Ethiopia.

Haramaya University, Haramaya, Ethiopia.

出版信息

Trop Anim Health Prod. 2024 Sep 21;56(8):267. doi: 10.1007/s11250-024-04159-9.

Abstract

Economic value (EV), sensitivity of EV and relative economic importance of milk yield (MY), age at first calving (AFC), calving interval (CI) and herd life (HL) traits were estimated for smallholder dairy cattle production in the central part of Ethiopia. The data on biological and economic parameters were collected using household interview and group discussions methods participating 238 farmers who had crossbred dairy cattle. Bio-economic model was used to calculate EV, sensitivity of EV and relative importance of EV. Cost of animal feed takes the highest share which accounted 81.35% of the total expenditure. The overall average profit per farmer expressed in Ethiopia currency (ETB, 1 US-$ = 39.55696 ETB) was 72,458.10 ± 5068 per year. Profitability of crossbred dairy cattle significantly varied (P < 0.05) between zones. Economic value estimated for MY, AFC, CI and HL in ETB were 13.38/kg, -16.19/day, -33.58/day and 79.55/day. The associated EV per additive standard deviation were 6083.62, -1311.59, -1271.05 and 117.73 ETB for MY, AFC, CI and HL, respectively. Analysis of sensitivity to scenario change (± 20%) showed that milk price had positive association with profit and EV, whereas feed price has inversely influenced both profit and EV. The profit obtained by farmers was altered by ± 29.08% and ± 12.31% as milk price and feed price fluctuated by ± 20%, respectively. Similarly, the EV of MY was changed by ± 20% with change in milk price and ± 7% with feed price. Scenario change in feed price (± 20%) has also caused ± 13.63% change on EV for AFC and ± 17.58% for CI. It can be noted that profit and EV of the traits were less sensitive to the change in price of milk, feed and labor. In general, the results of EV and profitability were encouraging for dairy farmers and the estimates can be used as an input for development of breeding program in the study area.

摘要

在埃塞俄比亚中部地区,对小农户奶牛养殖的经济价值(EV)、EV 的敏感性以及产奶量(MY)、初配年龄(AFC)、配种间隔(CI)和 herd life(HL)的相对经济重要性进行了估计。通过参与 238 名饲养杂交奶牛的农民的家庭访谈和小组讨论方法收集了生物和经济参数数据。使用生物经济模型计算 EV、EV 的敏感性和 EV 的相对重要性。动物饲料的成本占总支出的最高份额,占 81.35%。以埃塞俄比亚货币(ETB,1 美元=39.55696ETB)表示的每位农民的年平均总利润为 72458.10±5068 美元。杂交奶牛的盈利能力在不同地区差异显著(P<0.05)。以 ETB 计算的 MY、AFC、CI 和 HL 的经济价值分别为 13.38/kg、-16.19/day、-33.58/day 和 79.55/day。与每个加性标准差相关的 EV 分别为 6083.62、-1311.59、-1271.05 和 117.73ETB 用于 MY、AFC、CI 和 HL。对情景变化(±20%)的敏感性分析表明,牛奶价格与利润和 EV 呈正相关,而饲料价格对利润和 EV 有负向影响。当牛奶价格和饲料价格分别波动±20%时,农民获得的利润分别变化了±29.08%和±12.31%。同样,随着牛奶价格变化±20%,MY 的 EV 变化了±20%,而饲料价格变化±7%,EV 变化了±7%。饲料价格(±20%)的情景变化也导致 AFC 的 EV 变化了±13.63%,CI 的 EV 变化了±17.58%。可以注意到,性状的利润和 EV 对牛奶、饲料和劳动力价格变化的敏感性较低。总的来说,EV 和盈利能力的结果对奶牛养殖户来说是令人鼓舞的,这些估计可以作为该研究区制定育种计划的投入。

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