School of Hotel Management, Shanghai Business School, Shanghai, 201400, China.
School of Economics and Management, Shandong Agricultural University, Taian, Shandong, 271000, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2024 Oct;31(49):58858-58875. doi: 10.1007/s11356-024-34786-6. Epub 2024 Sep 25.
As an environmental regulatory tool in achieving green development, the low-carbon city pilot policy (LCCP) considerably influence tourism enhancement. Using China's 261 prefecture-level cities, this paper empirically delve the implication of LCCP to tourism from two tourism dimensions of tourism revenue and tourism arrivals employing the time-varying DID methodology. Results empirically reveal that the LCCP contributes to boosting tourism development, and after undergoing numerous robustness tests, this finding stands. The "arrivals growth effect" of LCCP is stronger than the "revenue improvement effect." Moreover, the impact of LCCP on domestic tourism is more profound than on inbound tourism. Heterogeneity analyses show the boosting impact is more pronounced in third-tier and above cities and non-resource-based cities. Upon further testing its transmission mechanism, we discover that the LCCP raises tourism revenues and arrival levels through industrial structural upgrading and innovation capacity improvement. The study clarifies the theoretical mechanisms and policy effects of LCCP on tourism development, which is valuable for assessing the tourism effects of LCCP and other environmental regulations and exploring the expanding path of sustainable tourism development.
作为实现绿色发展的环境监管工具，低碳城市试点政策（LCCP）对旅游发展有重要影响。本文利用中国 261 个地级市的数据，采用时变 DID 方法，从旅游收入和旅游人数两个旅游维度实证研究了 LCCP 对旅游的影响。结果表明，LCCP 有助于促进旅游发展，且经过多次稳健性检验后，该结论依然成立。LCCP 的“入境人数增长效应”强于“旅游收入改善效应”。此外，LCCP 对国内旅游的影响大于入境旅游。异质性分析表明，LCCP 在三、四线及以上城市和非资源型城市的推动作用更为显著。进一步检验其传导机制发现，LCCP 通过产业结构升级和创新能力提升来提高旅游收入和入境人数。本研究阐明了 LCCP 对旅游发展的理论机制和政策效果，这有助于评估 LCCP 及其他环境法规对旅游的影响，探索可持续旅游发展的拓展路径。
