Transformation in marginal zone lymphoma: results from a prospective cohort and a meta-analysis of the literature.

Marginal zone lymphoma (MZL) includes extranodal MZL (EMZL), splenic MZL (SMZL), and nodal MZL (NMZL) subtypes. Histologic transformation (HT) to large B-cell lymphomas is well documented but with a large variability in published cumulative incidence rates. We report results from the Molecular Epidemiology Resource (MER) cohort on the cumulative incidence of HT (with death as competing risk) and the associated risk factors and outcomes. We also conducted a meta-analysis of available studies on the cumulative incidence of HT. From 2002 to 2015, 529 patients with MZL were enrolled in the MER study (69% EMZL, 16% SMZL, and 15% NMZL). The 10-year overall survival (OS) from diagnosis was 66%. HT occurred in 21 patients with a 5-year and 10-year cumulative incidence of 2.7% (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.02-0.05) and 3.6% (95% CI, 0.02-0.06), respectively. HT was associated with an increased risk for death (subdistribution hazard ratio [HR], 3.95; 95% CI, 2.06-7.55). Predictors of HT were ≥2 extranodal sites and mucosa-associated lymphoid tissue International Prognostic Index score ≥2. The OS was 79% at 5 years and 55% at 10 years after HT. In the meta-analysis of 12 studies (6161 patients), the 5- and 10-year cumulative incidence of HT across all subtypes were 5% (95% CI, 0.05-0.06) and 8% (95% CI, 0.07-0.09), respectively. These rates were lower in EMZL (3% and 5%) than in SMZL (7% and 13%) and NMZL (9% and 13%). Although HT is relatively uncommon in the first decade after MZL diagnosis, it is associated with an inferior outcome and needs new approaches for prevention and management.