Xu Min, Liu Shuhao, Zhang Hui, Li Zhiguo, Song Xiaojing, Yang Linlin, Tang Baojun
Key Laboratory of East China Sea Fishery Resources Exploitation, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, Shanghai 200090, China.
East China Sea Fisheries Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Fishery Sciences, Shanghai 200090, China.
Animals (Basel). 2024 Sep 19;14(18):2716. doi: 10.3390/ani14182716.
Climate change is having important effects on the migration routes and seasonal-spatial distribution patterns of aquatic animals, including the cephalopods de Rochebrune (Hoyle, 1886) and (Hoyle, 1885) in the East China Sea region. We conducted bottom trawling surveys from 2018 to 2019 in the East China Sea region to identify the seasonal-spatial distribution patterns, including the locations of spawning and nursery grounds of both species, and to determine how they are related to environmental variables. We used random forests and boosted regression trees to identify the distribution patterns of both species from spring to winter to estimate the annual mean situations. We also predicted the habitat distribution variations in 2050 and 2100 under the SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 climate change scenarios. From our survey data, we detected increasing biomass densities of from 29.50° N to 28.50° N, where the largest value of 213.92 g·ind occurred. In spring, juvenile groups were present in coastal areas and larger individuals were found in offshore areas. We identified potential spawning grounds at 29.50°-33.00° N 122.50°-123.00° E adjacent to the Zhejiang coastline, and larger individuals and higher biomass densities in south of the 29.50° N line in summer. In autumn, the average individual weight increased in the 28.00° N 122.00° E→124.00° E area. We located potential spawning grounds at 27.00° N 122.00°-123.50° E in spring. Growing overwintering juveniles migrated to the area of 29.50°-30.50° N 125.00°-127.00° E in winter. The sea surface temperature of the areas inhabited by both species showed obvious seasonal variation. The SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios indicated that the habitat of would shift to the south first and then to the north of the study area with the intensification of CO emissions, and it would first expand and then greatly decrease. However, the habitat area of would increase. Our results will contribute to a better understanding of the life history traits of both species and the changes in their distribution patterns under different climate scenarios to ensure sustainable exploitation and fisheries management.
气候变化正在对水生动物的洄游路线和季节性空间分布模式产生重要影响,包括东海区域的罗氏乌贼(霍伊尔,1886年)和剑尖枪乌贼(霍伊尔,1885年)。我们于2018年至2019年在东海区域进行了底拖网调查,以确定这两种乌贼的季节性空间分布模式,包括它们的产卵场和育幼场位置,并确定这些分布模式与环境变量之间的关系。我们使用随机森林和增强回归树来识别这两种乌贼从春季到冬季的分布模式,以估计全年平均情况。我们还预测了在SSP1-2.6和SSP5-8.5气候变化情景下,2050年和2100年的栖息地分布变化。根据我们的调查数据,我们检测到剑尖枪乌贼的生物量密度从北纬29.50°到北纬28.50°呈增加趋势,其中最大值为213.92克/个体。春季,幼体群体出现在沿海地区,较大个体出现在近海区域。我们确定了浙江海岸线附近、北纬29.50°-33.00°、东经122.50°-123.00°为潜在产卵场,夏季在北纬29.50°线以南个体较大且生物量密度较高。秋季,在北纬28.00°、东经122.00°→124.00°区域平均个体重量增加。我们确定春季北纬27.00°、东经122.00°-123.50°为剑尖枪乌贼的潜在产卵场。正在生长的越冬幼体在冬季迁移到北纬29.50°-30.50°、东经125.00°-127.00°区域。这两种乌贼栖息区域的海表温度呈现明显的季节性变化。SSP1-2.6和SSP5-8.5情景表明,随着碳排放的加剧,剑尖枪乌贼的栖息地将首先向研究区域的南部转移,然后再向北转移,其栖息地面积将先扩大后大幅减少。然而,火枪乌贼的栖息地面积将增加。我们的研究结果将有助于更好地了解这两种乌贼的生活史特征以及它们在不同气候情景下分布模式的变化,以确保可持续开发和渔业管理。