Ulva lactuca blooms through the eyes of fishers: Threats to vulnerable coastal communities.

Eutrophication intensifies Harmful Macroalgae Blooms (HMBs) in coastal environments, reducing habitat suitability for organisms and creating significant challenges for small-scale artisanal fishers. Leveraging fishers' memories, we analyzed over 20 years of data on Ulva lactuca blooms and their effects on fishing activities and fish resources in a tropical semi-arid region of Brazil. We estimated the timing, seasonality, and impacts of these bloom episodes on fish catches, fishing gears, and fishery revenues. Since 2010, blooms have become more frequent, particularly during dry seasons in shallow estuaries, likely exacerbated by nutrient enrichment, extended water residence time, and inadequate wastewater treatment. Net-based gear is particularly affected, with fish catches decreasing by up to sevenfold during bloom seasons, leading to income losses of approximately 50 %. Addressing eutrophication through active public policies on effluent treatment is crucial to mitigating economic impacts on vulnerable communities and managing future blooms, which are expected to worsen with climate change.