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地方政府能力如何破解“资源诅咒”?基于产业结构转型视角的研究。

How can local government capacity lift the 'resource curse'? A study from the perspective of industrial structure transformation.

机构信息

School of Management, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin, China; No. 92, Xidazhi Street, Nangang District, Harbin, Heilongjiang, China.

School of Management, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin, China; No. 92, Xidazhi Street, Nangang District, Harbin, Heilongjiang, China.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2024 Nov;370:122633. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122633. Epub 2024 Oct 4.

DOI:10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122633
PMID:39368387
Abstract

Industrial transformation is crucial for sustainable urban development and economic security. Although more studies have analyzed the relationship between resource endowment and urban industrial transformation, they have failed to include the key factor of local government capacity in the analysis. Based on the panel data from 267 cities in China from 2003 to 2018, the study examines the impact of resource endowment on industrial transformation and the role of local government capacity in it by using linear models and panel threshold models. This study finds that resource endowment promotes the development of the secondary industry in urban, but hinders the development of the tertiary industry. There is a moderating effect of local government capacity that mitigates the lock-in effect of resource endowment on industrial transformation. This moderating effect demonstrates heterogeneity among cities with different levels of resource endowment and geographic locations, and the results are robust. Furthermore, this study concludes that under different local government capacity, the moderating effect of local government capacity on the relationship between resource endowment and industrial transformation is nonlinear, and it also finds that the stronger local government capacity is not the better.

摘要

产业转型对于可持续城市发展和经济安全至关重要。尽管已有更多研究分析了资源禀赋与城市产业转型之间的关系,但它们在分析中未能纳入地方政府能力这一关键因素。本研究基于 2003 年至 2018 年中国 267 个城市的面板数据,利用线性模型和面板门限模型,考察了资源禀赋对产业转型的影响,以及地方政府能力在其中的作用。研究发现,资源禀赋促进了城市中第二产业的发展,但阻碍了第三产业的发展。地方政府能力存在调节作用,可以减轻资源禀赋对产业转型的锁定效应。这种调节作用在不同资源禀赋和地理位置的城市之间表现出异质性,且结果稳健。此外,本研究还得出结论,在不同的地方政府能力下,地方政府能力对资源禀赋与产业转型关系的调节作用是非线性的,并且发现较强的地方政府能力并不一定更好。

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