Botha Ryan, Polaschek Devon L L
Department of Corrections, Ara Poutama Aotearoa.
School of Psychology, University of Waikato.
Psychol Serv. 2025 Feb;22(1):102-111. doi: 10.1037/ser0000885. Epub 2024 Oct 7.
Numerous studies have investigated the predictive validity of the Hare Psychopathy Checklist (PCL), but the majority have used samples from North America. The PCL may inform important decisions about people's futures; recognition has been growing of the importance of ensuring that its psychometric properties are established in each jurisdiction where it is used, especially for Indigenous and non-European populations. The present study examined the predictive properties of the Hare Psychopathy Checklist: Screening Version (PCL:SV; Hart et al., 1995) in 371 New Zealand (NZ) male prisoners, including NZ European and NZ Māori subsamples. Discrimination analyses showed that PCL:SV total scores had moderate predictive accuracy for any new conviction within 5 years of release; no significant differences were detected for Māori versus NZ European on this outcome. PCL:SV Factor 2 (Lifestyle/Antisocial) scores were moderately predictive of violent recidivism within 5 years of release. In a second, independent sample of male prisoners ( = 102), both PCL:SV total and Factor 2 scores showed moderate predictive accuracy for serious institutional violence. Additionally, PCL:SV Facets 1 (Interpersonal) and 2 (Affective) scores were uniquely associated with time to sexual and violent recidivism, respectively. Understanding the predictive performance of clinical risk measures across diverse ethnic groups is an important step toward identifying and addressing ethnic disparities in criminal justice outcomes. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).
众多研究探讨了哈雷精神病态检查表(PCL)的预测效度,但大多数研究使用的是来自北美的样本。PCL可能会为有关人们未来的重要决策提供信息;人们越来越认识到,确保其心理测量特性在其使用的每个司法管辖区得到确立非常重要,尤其是对于原住民和非欧洲人群体。本研究考察了哈雷精神病态检查表:筛查版(PCL:SV;哈特等人,1995年)在371名新西兰(NZ)男性囚犯中的预测特性,包括新西兰欧洲裔和新西兰毛利裔子样本。判别分析表明,PCL:SV总分对释放后5年内的任何新定罪具有中等预测准确性;在这一结果上,未检测到毛利人与新西兰欧洲裔之间的显著差异。PCL:SV因子2(生活方式/反社会)得分对释放后5年内的暴力再犯具有中等预测性。在第二个独立的男性囚犯样本(n = 102)中,PCL:SV总分和因子2得分对严重的机构内暴力均显示出中等预测准确性。此外,PCL:SV方面1(人际)和方面2(情感)得分分别与性犯罪和暴力再犯的时间存在独特关联。了解临床风险测量在不同种族群体中的预测表现,是识别和解决刑事司法结果中的种族差异的重要一步。(PsycInfo数据库记录(c)2025美国心理学会,保留所有权利)