Akter Shamima, Rahman Md Mizanur, Rouyard Thomas, Aktar Sarmin, Nsashiyi Raïssa Shiyghan, Nakamura Ryota
Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University, Tokyo, Japan.
Graduate School of Public Health & Health Policy, City University of New York, New York, NY, USA.
Nat Hum Behav. 2024 Dec;8(12):2367-2391. doi: 10.1038/s41562-024-02002-7. Epub 2024 Oct 7.
This preregistered systematic review and meta-analysis (PROSPERO: CRD 42022311392) aimed to synthesize the effectiveness of all available population-level tobacco policies on smoking behaviour. Our search across 5 databases and leading organizational websites resulted in 9,925 records, with 476 studies meeting our inclusion criteria. In our narrative summary and both pairwise and network meta-analyses, we identified anti-smoking campaigns, health warnings and tax increases as the most effective tobacco policies for promoting smoking cessation. Flavour bans and free/discounted nicotine replacement therapy also showed statistically significant positive effects on quit rates. The network meta-analysis results further indicated that smoking bans, anti-tobacco campaigns and tax increases effectively reduced smoking prevalence. In addition, flavour bans significantly reduced e-cigarette consumption. Both the narrative summary and the meta-analyses revealed that smoking bans, tax increases and anti-tobacco campaigns were associated with reductions in tobacco consumption and sales. On the basis of the available evidence, anti-tobacco campaigns, smoking bans, health warnings and tax increases are probably the most effective policies for curbing smoking behaviour.
这项预先注册的系统评价和荟萃分析(PROSPERO:CRD 42022311392)旨在综合所有可用的人群层面烟草政策对吸烟行为的有效性。我们在5个数据库和主要组织网站上进行的检索共得到9925条记录,其中476项研究符合我们的纳入标准。在我们的叙述性总结以及成对和网状荟萃分析中,我们确定反吸烟运动、健康警示和提高税收是促进戒烟最有效的烟草政策。口味禁令以及免费/打折的尼古丁替代疗法对戒烟率也显示出具有统计学意义的积极影响。网状荟萃分析结果进一步表明,禁烟、反烟草运动和提高税收有效地降低了吸烟率。此外,口味禁令显著减少了电子烟消费。叙述性总结和荟萃分析均表明,禁烟、提高税收和反烟草运动与烟草消费和销售的减少有关。根据现有证据,反烟草运动、禁烟、健康警示和提高税收可能是遏制吸烟行为最有效的政策。