Plasma neurofilament heavy chain is a prognostic biomarker for the development of severe epilepsy after experimental traumatic brain injury.

OBJECTIVE

This study was undertaken to test whether the postinjury plasma concentration of phosphorylated neurofilament heavy chain (pNF-H), a marker of axonal injury, is a prognostic biomarker for the development of posttraumatic epilepsy.

METHODS

Tail vein plasma was sampled 48 h after traumatic brain injury (TBI) from 143 rats (10 naïve, 21 controls, 112 with lateral fluid percussion injury) to quantify pNF-H by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. During the 6th postinjury month, rats underwent 30 days of continuous video-electroencephalographic monitoring to detect unprovoked seizures and evaluate epilepsy severity. Somatomotor (composite neuroscore) and spatial memory (Morris water maze) testing and quantitative T magnetic resonance imaging were performed to assess comorbidities and lesion severity.

RESULTS

Of the 112 TBI rats, 25% (28/112) developed epilepsy (TBI+) and 75% (84/112) did not (TBI-). Plasma pNF-H concentrations were higher in TBI+ rats than in TBI- rats (p < .05). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis indicated that plasma pNF-H concentration distinguished TBI+ rats from TBI- rats (area under the curve [AUC] = .647, p < .05). Differentiation was stronger when comparing TBI+ rats exhibiting severe epilepsy (≥3 seizures/month) with all other TBI rats (AUC = .732, p < .01). Plasma pNF-H concentration on day 2 (D2) distinguished TBI+ rats with seizure clusters from other TBI rats (AUC = .732, p < .05). Higher plasma pNF-H concentration on D2 after TBI correlated with lower neuroscores on D2 (p < .001), D6 (p < .001), and D14 (p < .01). Higher pNF-H concentration on D2 correlated with greater T signal abnormality volume on D2 (p < .001) and D7 (p < .01) and larger cortical lesion area on D182 (p < .01). Plasma pNF-H concentration on D2 did not correlate with Morris water maze performance on D37-D39.

SIGNIFICANCE

Plasma pNF-H is a promising clinically translatable prognostic biomarker for the development of posttraumatic epilepsy with frequent seizures or seizure clusters.