Department of Oncology, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada.
St. Mary's Research Centre, Montreal, QC, Canada.
Eur J Epidemiol. 2024 Oct;39(10):1139-1149. doi: 10.1007/s10654-024-01161-1. Epub 2024 Oct 15.
Excess body fatness in late adulthood has been observed to increase ovarian cancer risk, but the association is relatively weak. Body fatness can change over time, and timing may differently influence risk. We used a life course epidemiology approach to identify whether the relation between body fatness and ovarian cancer risk is best described by a critical period, accumulation or sensitive period hypothesis. In a population-based case-control study of ovarian cancer in Montreal, Canada (2011-16), data on body mass index (BMI) at each decade starting at age 20 was available. Among 363 cases and 707 controls aged ≥ 50 years, we used a Bayesian relevant life course exposure model to estimate the relative importance of BMI for three pre-specified periods across the adult life course, i.e., early childbearing years, late childbearing years, and peri/postmenopause, on ovarian cancer risk. The accumulation hypothesis best described BMI in relation to ovarian cancer overall, with an odds ratio (OR) for the lifetime effect of BMI (per 5 kg/m increase) of 1.10 (95% credible interval [CrI]: 0.90-1.35). For invasive ovarian cancer, the OR (95% CrI) for the lifetime effect was 1.16 (0.92-1.48), with BMI during early childbearing years showing the highest relative importance, suggesting this may be a sensitive period. For borderline cancer, the lifetime effect OR was not strongly supportive of an association (OR: 0.90, 95% CrI: 0.53-1.32). The results suggest that a sensitive period of early childbearing years is a candidate hypothesis for further investigation.
成年后期体脂过多与卵巢癌风险增加有关,但这种关联相对较弱。体脂会随时间而变化,而时间的不同可能会对风险产生不同的影响。我们采用生命历程流行病学方法,确定体脂与卵巢癌风险之间的关系是否最好用关键期、积累或敏感期假说来描述。在加拿大蒙特利尔进行的一项基于人群的卵巢癌病例对照研究(2011-16 年)中,我们获得了 20 岁以后每个十年的体重指数(BMI)数据。在 363 名年龄≥50 岁的病例和 707 名对照中,我们使用贝叶斯相关生命历程暴露模型,估计 BMI 在成年生命历程中三个预先指定时期(即生育早期、生育晚期和绝经前后)对卵巢癌风险的相对重要性。总体而言,积累假说最能描述 BMI 与卵巢癌之间的关系,BMI 的终生效应(每增加 5kg/m)的比值比(OR)为 1.10(95%可信区间 [CrI]:0.90-1.35)。对于浸润性卵巢癌,终生效应的 OR(95% CrI)为 1.16(0.92-1.48),生育早期的 BMI 相对重要性最高,这表明这可能是一个敏感期。对于交界性肿瘤,终生效应的 OR 并不强烈支持存在关联(OR:0.90,95% CrI:0.53-1.32)。结果表明,生育早期的敏感期可能是进一步研究的候选假说。