Aldrich C K
Am J Psychiatry. 1986 Jan;143(1):45-9. doi: 10.1176/ajp.143.1.45.
In 1946-1949 psychiatrists examined in depth more than 200 students from four first-year medical school classes and predicted their future adjustment. Judging by the former students' replies to a questionnaire in 1981-1982, the psychiatrists' favorable predictions were for the most part borne out, whereas the unfavorable predictions were much less likely to have been realized. The psychiatrists appeared to have overemphasized the significance of the psychopathology they discovered and to have underestimated the potential of many of these young adults for spontaneous personality change.
1946年至1949年期间，精神病学家对来自医学院四个一年级班级的200多名学生进行了深入检查，并预测了他们未来的适应情况。根据这些以前的学生在1981年至1982年对一份问卷的回答来看，精神病学家的积极预测在很大程度上得到了证实，而消极预测实现的可能性则小得多。精神病学家似乎过度强调了他们所发现的精神病理学的重要性，而低估了这些年轻人中许多人自发改变性格的潜力。
