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现实决策中的反事实好奇心:结果效价与衰老的作用。

Counterfactual curiosity in real decisions: The roles of outcome valence and aging.

作者信息

Bogani Alessandro, Tentori Katya, Timberlake Benjamin, Pighin Stefania

机构信息

Center for Mind/Brain Sciences (CIMeC), University of Trento, Corso Bettini, N. 31, 38068, Rovereto, TN, Italy.

出版信息

Psychon Bull Rev. 2025 Apr;32(2):961-972. doi: 10.3758/s13423-024-02569-2. Epub 2024 Oct 25.

Abstract

Non-instrumental counterfactual curiosity (i.e., the search for information about forgone options that is not useful for improving future outcomes) has especially been observed after outcomes perceived as negative and, consequently, attributed to forms of regret management. In three online experiments (N = 620), we extended the study of counterfactual curiosity about economically incentivized decisions in younger and older adults. Participants played independent rounds of a card-drawing game by choosing one of two decks to turn over the top, covered card, which could increase, decrease, or have no effect on an initial endowment. Following that, they could examine the top card of the other deck to see if and how the outcome could have differed. Experiment 1 featured identical decks, making the choice between them random. In Experiment 2, participants made a deliberate choice between a riskier and a safer deck, each varying in the extremity of potential wins and losses. In Experiment 3, the decks were identical to those in Experiment 2, but access to counterfactual information was contingent upon participants forfeiting part of their endowment. Results showed a relevant portion of both younger and older adults displayed curiosity for non-instrumental counterfactual information, especially when it was free and likely to reveal that the forgone option would have been better than the chosen one. Older adults exhibited a higher level of curiosity than younger counterparts only when choices were deliberate and counterfactual information was free. These findings are discussed in relation to current perspectives on the regret-management function of counterfactual curiosity.

摘要

非工具性反事实好奇心(即寻找关于已放弃选项的信息,这些信息对改善未来结果并无用处)尤其在被视为负面的结果之后被观察到,因此,这被归因于后悔管理的形式。在三项在线实验(N = 620)中,我们扩展了对年轻人和老年人在经济激励决策方面的反事实好奇心的研究。参与者通过选择两副牌中的一副来翻开上面覆盖的牌,独立进行抽牌游戏,这可能会增加、减少或不影响初始资金。之后,他们可以查看另一副牌的顶牌,看看结果是否以及如何会有所不同。实验1中两副牌相同,在它们之间的选择是随机的。在实验2中,参与者在一副风险较高和一副风险较低的牌之间进行了深思熟虑的选择,每副牌在潜在输赢的极端程度上有所不同。在实验3中,牌与实验2中的相同,但获取反事实信息取决于参与者放弃部分资金。结果显示,相当一部分年轻人和老年人都对非工具性反事实信息表现出好奇心,特别是当信息免费且可能表明已放弃的选项会比所选选项更好时。只有当选择是经过深思熟虑的且反事实信息免费时,老年人表现出比年轻人更高的好奇心水平。我们结合当前关于反事实好奇心的后悔管理功能的观点对这些发现进行了讨论。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1c64/12000194/d7c7fe6762dd/13423_2024_2569_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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