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数字经济能否提升城市出口复杂度?来自中国的证据。

Can digital economy promote urban export sophistication? Evidence from China.

机构信息

School of economics, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou, P.R. China.

Business School, Xiangtan University, Xiangtan, Hunan, P.R. China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 Nov 1;19(11):e0308285. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0308285. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

This study investigates the impact of digital economy development on urban export sophistication and its mechanisms. We use the chain mediation effect model to analyze the panel data of 281 cities in China from 2011 to 2017. The results show that the digital economy has a significant and positive impact on urban ES. There are two main influence paths. One promotes urban ES by accumulating human capital; the other stimulates technological innovation and further leads to urban ES. The "technological innovation effect" plays the most considerable mediating role among them. The heterogeneity test result shows that the digital economy impact is greater in western China than in eastern and central regions. We further show that the influence of the regional digital economy on urban ES presents an inverted U-shaped curve. Our paper provides guidance for promoting the construction of and the high-quality development of trade.

摘要

本研究考察了数字经济发展对城市出口复杂度的影响及其机制。我们使用链式中介效应模型,基于 2011 年至 2017 年中国 281 个城市的面板数据进行分析。结果表明,数字经济对城市 ES 具有显著的正向影响。存在两条主要的影响路径。一条是通过积累人力资本来促进城市 ES;另一条是刺激技术创新,进而推动城市 ES。其中,“技术创新效应”发挥了最主要的中介作用。异质性检验结果表明,数字经济对西部地区城市 ES 的影响大于东部和中部地区。我们进一步表明,区域数字经济对城市 ES 的影响呈现出倒 U 型曲线。本文为促进贸易建设和高质量发展提供了指导。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/949d/11530047/c2a6b0bbda0f/pone.0308285.g001.jpg

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