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术前全身免疫炎症指数对接受 upfront 根治性肾切除术的非转移性小儿肾母细胞瘤患者的预后价值。

Prognostic Value of Preoperative Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index in Non-Metastatic Paediatric Wilms' Tumour Patients Undergoing Upfront Radical Nephrectomy.

机构信息

Department of Oncologic Surgery, Anhui Provincial Children's Hospital of Fudan University, Hefei, China.

出版信息

J Coll Physicians Surg Pak. 2024 Nov;34(11):1327-1333. doi: 10.29271/jcpsp.2024.11.1327.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To analyse the relationship between the preoperative systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and the relapse-free survival (RFS) of paediatric patients with Wilms' tumour (WT) after radical surgery, and to establish and validate a prognostic survival model.

STUDY DESIGN

Observational study. Place and Duration of the Study: Department of Oncologic Surgery, Anhui Children's Hospital of Fudan University, Hefei, China, from January 2013 to August 2023.

METHODOLOGY

A retrospective analysis was conducted on 79 WT patients treated with radical resection, with their preoperative SII values computed. The best cut-off for SII was determined through the ROC curve, categorising patients into high and low SII groups. The Kaplan-Meier method and Cox-regression were used for survival analysis. A survival prognostic model was constructed and its predictive capability gauged (AUC of the ROC).

RESULTS

The study included 79 WT patients with a median RFS of 65 months and an average of 75.5 ± 3.4 months. The optimal cut-off value for SII was 534.95. The low SII group had a higher RFS (Log-rank: χ2 = 9.380, p = 0.002). Preoperative SII (HR = 3.277, 95% CI: 1.167 - 9.200, p = 0.024), clinical staging (HR = 8.408, 95% CI: 2.604 - 27.147, p <0.001), and tissue differentiation (HR = 2.237, 95% CI: 1.043 - 5.828, p = 0.039) were independent risk factors for RFS. The model's diagnostic performance was 0.749 (95% CI: 0.636 - 0.861). Internal validation showed an AUC of 0.723 (95% CI: 0.608 - 0.838).

CONCLUSION

Lower preoperative SII suggests a more favourable prognosis. The SII-based nomogram efficiently forecasts post-radical surgery prognosis for WT.

KEY WORDS

Wilms' Tumour, Systemic immune-inflammation index, Relapse-free survival, Nomogram.

摘要

目的

分析小儿肾母细胞瘤(WT)根治术后术前全身免疫炎症指数(SII)与无复发生存(RFS)的关系,并建立和验证预后生存模型。

研究设计

观察性研究。

地点和研究时间

中国复旦大学安徽儿童医院肿瘤科,2013 年 1 月至 2023 年 8 月。

方法

对 79 例接受根治性切除术的 WT 患者进行回顾性分析,计算其术前 SII 值。通过 ROC 曲线确定 SII 的最佳截断值,将患者分为高 SII 组和低 SII 组。采用 Kaplan-Meier 法和 Cox 回归进行生存分析。构建生存预后模型并评估其预测能力(ROC 曲线下面积)。

结果

本研究纳入 79 例 WT 患者,中位 RFS 为 65 个月,平均随访时间为 75.5±3.4 个月。SII 的最佳截断值为 534.95。低 SII 组的 RFS 更高(Log-rank:χ2=9.380,p=0.002)。术前 SII(HR=3.277,95%CI:1.167-9.200,p=0.024)、临床分期(HR=8.408,95%CI:2.604-27.147,p<0.001)和组织分化(HR=2.237,95%CI:1.043-5.828,p=0.039)是 RFS 的独立危险因素。该模型的诊断性能为 0.749(95%CI:0.636-0.861)。内部验证显示 AUC 为 0.723(95%CI:0.608-0.838)。

结论

术前 SII 较低提示预后较好。基于 SII 的列线图能够有效预测 WT 根治术后的预后。

关键词

肾母细胞瘤、全身免疫炎症指数、无复发生存、列线图。

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