Natural history of a newly developed calcified nodule: incidence, predictors, and clinical outcomes.

BACKGROUND

Calcified nodules (CNs) are an increasingly important, high-risk lesion subset.

AIMS

We sought to identify the emergence of new CNs and the relation between underlying plaque characteristics and new CN development.

METHODS

Patients who had undergone two optical coherence tomography (OCT) studies that imaged the same untreated calcified lesion at baseline and follow-up were included. New CNs were an accumulation of small calcium fragments at follow-up that were not present at baseline. Cardiac death, myocardial infarction (MI), or clinically driven revascularisation related to OCT-imaged, but untreated, calcified lesions were then evaluated.

RESULTS

Among 372 untreated calcified lesions, with a median of 1.5 (first and third quartiles: 0.7-2.9) years between baseline and follow-up OCTs, new CNs were observed in 7.0% (26/372) of lesions at follow-up. Attenuated calcium representing residual lipid (odds ratio [OR] 3.38, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.15-9.98; p=0.03); log calcium volume index (length×maximum arc×maximum thickness; OR 2.76, 95% CI: 1.10-6.95; p=0.03); angiographic Δangle between systole and diastole, per 10° (OR 2.30, 95% CI: 1.25-4.22; p=0.01); and time since baseline OCT, per year (OR 1.36, 95% CI: 1.05-1.75; p=0.02) were all associated with new CN development. Clinical events were revascularisation and/or MI and were more frequent in lesions with versus without a new CN (29.3% vs 15.3%; p=0.04).

CONCLUSIONS

New CNs developed in untreated, lipid-containing, severely calcified lesions with a larger angiographic hinge motion (between systole and diastole), compared with lesions without CNs, and were associated with worse clinical outcomes.