Department of Critical Care Medicine, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.
Department of Critical Care Medicine, Jiangsu Provincial Government Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.
PLoS One. 2024 Nov 8;19(11):e0310245. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0310245. eCollection 2024.
To explore the relationship between hypernatremia and 28-day mortality in elderly sepsis patients.
A total of 179 elderly patients (age ≥65 years) with elevated serum sodium admitted to the Department of Critical Care Medicine of Nanjing Hospital affiliated with Nanjing Medical University from September 2021 to September 2022 were included in this retrospective observational study. The clinical data of all patients were collected, and the patients were divided into septic group and nonseptic groups according to the Sepsis 3.0 definition. The clinical features, acute physiological and chronic health II score (APACHE II score), mechanical ventilation time, serum sodium value and duration of serum sodium elevation were compared between the two groups. ROC curves were drawn to evaluate the predictive value of each index on the prognosis of sepsis patients, and Kaplan‒Meier survival analysis was carried out on patients with different serum sodium peaks.
(1) The changes in serum sodium within 48 hours after admission in the sepsis group were small and statistically significant compared with those in the nonsepsis group (P = 0.039); however, the serum sodium elevation duration was longer (P = 0.018). (2) Compared with nonseptic patients, the 7-day mortality of septic patients was higher (15.8 vs. 7.7, P<0.001). The 28-day mortality of septic patients was higher than that of nonseptic patients, but there was no significant difference between the two groups (P = 0.086). (3) The serum sodium level in the sepsis group was higher than that in the nonsepsis group on the 1st, 3rd, 5th and 7th days (P<0.001). There was no significant difference in mechanical ventilation time or duration of stay in the ICU between the two groups. (4) The ROC curve analysis showed that the peak value of serum sodium had predictive value for the prognosis severity of elderly patients with sepsis. The area under the curve (AUC) was 0.753, the 95% confidence interval (95% CI) was 0.639~0.867, and the best cut-off value was 154.9 mmol/L. (5) According to the best cut-off value of the serum sodium peak, the septic patients were divided into two groups: the peak value of serum sodium was ≥154.9 mmol/L (group A), and the peak value of serum sodium was <154.9 mmol/L (group B). Among them, the case fatality rate was higher at 7 days and 28 days when the peak value of serum sodium was ≥154.9 mmol/L (group A) (22.0% vs. 8.6%); the χ2 value was 35.379, P<0.05; 75.6% vs. 37.1%, χ2 = 14.21, P = 0.003). There was no significant difference in mechanical ventilation time or duration of stay in the ICU between the two groups. (6) Kaplan‒Meier survival analysis showed that the median survival time of patients with a serum sodium peak ≥154.9 mmol/L (group A) was significantly shorter than that of patients with a serum sodium peak < 154.9 mmol/L (group B) (16.7±1.4 d vs. 24.8±1.2 d, P <0.05).
The serum sodium increase in elderly sepsis patients lasts for a long time, and the serum sodium fluctuation is relatively small. The serum sodium peak value has predictive value for 28-day mortality.
探讨老年脓毒症患者高钠血症与 28 天死亡率的关系。
回顾性观察性研究纳入 2021 年 9 月至 2022 年 9 月南京医科大学附属南京医院重症医学科收治的 179 例血清钠升高的老年(年龄≥65 岁)脓毒症患者。收集所有患者的临床资料,根据 Sepsis 3.0 定义将患者分为脓毒症组和非脓毒症组。比较两组患者的临床特征、急性生理与慢性健康评分Ⅱ(APACHE Ⅱ评分)、机械通气时间、血清钠值及血清钠升高持续时间。绘制 ROC 曲线评估各指标对脓毒症患者预后的预测价值,并对不同血清钠峰值的患者进行 Kaplan-Meier 生存分析。
(1)脓毒症组患者入院后 48 小时内血清钠变化较小,与非脓毒症组比较差异有统计学意义(P=0.039);但血清钠升高持续时间较长(P=0.018)。(2)与非脓毒症患者比较,脓毒症患者的 7 天死亡率更高(15.8%比 7.7%,P<0.001)。脓毒症患者 28 天死亡率高于非脓毒症患者,但两组间差异无统计学意义(P=0.086)。(3)脓毒症组患者第 1、3、5、7 天血清钠水平均高于非脓毒症组(P<0.001)。两组患者机械通气时间或 ICU 住院时间差异无统计学意义。(4)ROC 曲线分析显示,血清钠峰值对老年脓毒症患者预后严重程度具有预测价值。曲线下面积(AUC)为 0.753,95%置信区间(95%CI)为 0.639~0.867,最佳截断值为 154.9 mmol/L。(5)根据血清钠峰值最佳截断值,将脓毒症患者分为两组:血清钠峰值≥154.9 mmol/L (A 组)和血清钠峰值<154.9 mmol/L (B 组)。其中 A 组患者在第 7 天和第 28 天的病死率更高(22.0%比 8.6%),差异有统计学意义(χ2=35.379,P<0.05);75.6%比 37.1%,差异有统计学意义(χ2=14.21,P=0.003)。两组患者机械通气时间或 ICU 住院时间差异无统计学意义。(6)Kaplan-Meier 生存分析显示,血清钠峰值≥154.9 mmol/L (A 组)患者的中位生存时间明显短于血清钠峰值<154.9 mmol/L (B 组)(16.7±1.4 d 比 24.8±1.2 d,P<0.05)。
老年脓毒症患者的血清钠升高持续时间较长,血清钠波动相对较小。血清钠峰值对 28 天死亡率具有预测价值。