Dellar Martha, Geerling Gertjan, Kok Kasper, van Bodegom Peter M, van der Schrier Gerard, Schrama Maarten, Boelee Eline
Institute of Environmental Sciences, University of Leiden, Van Steenis Building, Einsteinweg 2, 2333CC, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Deltares, Daltonlaan 600, 3584BK, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Sci Data. 2024 Nov 16;11(1):1237. doi: 10.1038/s41597-024-04059-5.
To enable detailed study of a wide variety of future health challenges, we have created future land use maps for the Netherlands for 2050, based on the Dutch One Health Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs). This was done using the DynaCLUE modelling framework. Future land use is based on altitude, soil properties, groundwater, salinity, flood risk, agricultural land price, distance to transport hubs and climate. We also account for anticipated demand for different land use types, historic land use changes and potential spatial restrictions. These land use maps can be used to model many different health risks to people, animals and the environment, such as disease, water quality and pollution. In addition, the Netherlands can serve as an example for other rapidly urbanising deltas where many of the health risks will be similar.
为了能够详细研究未来各种各样的健康挑战，我们基于荷兰的“同一健康共享社会经济路径”（SSPs），创建了2050年荷兰未来土地利用地图。这是使用DynaCLUE建模框架完成的。未来土地利用基于海拔、土壤特性、地下水、盐度、洪水风险、农业用地价格、到交通枢纽的距离和气候。我们还考虑了对不同土地利用类型的预期需求、历史土地利用变化和潜在的空间限制。这些土地利用地图可用于模拟对人、动物和环境的许多不同健康风险，如疾病、水质和污染。此外，荷兰可以作为其他快速城市化三角洲的一个例子，在这些地方许多健康风险将是相似的。
