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数字经济对中国养老事业高质量发展的影响机制及空间溢出效应。

Impact mechanism and spatial spillover effect of the digital economy on the high-quality development of undertakings for the aged in China.

机构信息

School of Economics, Guangdong University of Finance and Economics, Guangzhou, China.

Institute of New Development, Guangdong University of Finance and Economics, Guangzhou, China.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2024 Nov 20;24(1):3225. doi: 10.1186/s12889-024-20750-z.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Digitalization and population aging have had a profound impact on the development of undertakings for the aged, which brings challenges as well as opportunities for elder care system. This study examines the impact of the digital economy on the high-quality development (HQD) of undertakings for the aged in China.

METHODS

Based on the panel data of 31 provinces in mainland China from 2013 to 2021, this study explores the influence mechanism of the HQD of undertakings for the aged driven by the digital economy and its spatial spillover effects. The benchmark regression model is used to investigate the impact of the development level of the digital economy on the HQD of undertakings for the aged. The mediation effect model is used to explore the indirect effects of the digital economy on the HQD of undertakings for the aged through the influence of the intermediary variable. The spatial panel model is then used to analyze the spatial spillover effect of the digital economy on the HQD of undertakings for the aged.

RESULTS

The digital economy has a positive effect (coefficient = 0.1530, P-value < 0.01) on the local HQD of undertakings for the aged and a negative effect (coefficient = - 0.1012, P-value < 0.01) on the level of the HQD of undertakings for the aged in neighboring areas after controlling for other variables. The mediation effect of the proportion of the tertiary industry in GDP accounts for 6.6% of the total effect of the digital economy on the HQD of undertakings for the aged.

CONCLUSIONS

The digital economy can significantly promote the HQD of undertakings for the aged by transforming the development of the tertiary industry. The improvement in the digital economy has a significant spatial spillover effect. This research enriches the existing body of literature by suggesting effective ways to enhance the HQD of undertakings for the aged through the digital economy and the tertiary industry.

摘要

背景

数字化和人口老龄化对养老事业的发展产生了深远的影响,为养老服务体系带来了挑战和机遇。本研究考察了数字经济对中国养老事业高质量发展的影响。

方法

基于 2013 年至 2021 年中国内地 31 个省份的面板数据,本研究探讨了数字经济驱动养老事业高质量发展的影响机制及其空间溢出效应。基准回归模型用于研究数字经济发展水平对养老事业高质量发展的影响。中介效应模型用于通过中介变量的影响,探讨数字经济对养老事业高质量发展的间接影响。然后使用空间面板模型分析数字经济对养老事业高质量发展的空间溢出效应。

结果

数字经济对本地养老事业高质量发展具有正向影响(系数=0.1530,P 值<0.01),对邻近地区养老事业高质量发展水平具有负向影响(系数=-0.1012,P 值<0.01),在控制其他变量后。数字经济对养老事业高质量发展的总效应中,第三产业在 GDP 中所占比例的中介效应占 6.6%。

结论

数字经济可以通过转变第三产业的发展方式,显著促进养老事业的高质量发展。数字经济的改善具有显著的空间溢出效应。本研究通过数字经济和第三产业为提高养老事业高质量发展提供了有效途径,丰富了现有文献。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8a67/11577839/f206afcc70e1/12889_2024_20750_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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