Institute of New Development, Guangdong University of Finance and Economics, Guangzhou, China.
Int J Equity Health. 2023 May 26;22(1):104. doi: 10.1186/s12939-023-01921-7.
Promoting the high-quality development (HQD) of undertakings for the aged is an important action to proactively respond to the rapid population aging in China. This study analyzes spatial differentiation and driving factors of the HQD of China's undertakings for the aged.
Based on a quantitative indicator system consisting of old-age social security, elder care services, health care service and older adults' social participation, the HQD levels of 31 Chinese provincial administrative regions during 2013-2019 are measured by using the entropy weight method. Spatial panel regression models are used to analyze the impact of population aging, economic development and digital technology on the HQD of undertakings for the aged.
The comprehensive level of the HQD slightly increased from 0.212 to 2013 to 0.220 in 2019, and the overall level was low. The HQD of the eastern region was the highest (0.292), followed by the western region (0.215), and the central region was the lowest (0.151). The high-high cluster type was mainly distributed in the eastern region; the low-low cluster type was mainly distributed in the western and central regions. Economic development and digital technology have significant positive effects while population aging has significant negative effects on the HQD of undertakings for the aged.
There is a significantly spatial differentiation in the HQD of China's undertakings for the aged. In order to promote the HQD of undertakings for the aged, it is necessary to identify development gaps through making HQD evaluation and to focus on the indicators that are critical in maintaining sustainable economic development and to develop digital technology in order to get rid of those gaps.
促进养老事业高质量发展是积极应对中国人口快速老龄化的重要举措。本研究分析了中国养老事业高质量发展的空间分异及其驱动因素。
基于包含老年社会保障、养老服务、医疗保健服务和老年人社会参与的定量指标体系，利用熵权法测算了 2013-2019 年中国 31 个省级行政区的养老事业高质量发展水平。采用空间面板回归模型分析了人口老龄化、经济发展和数字技术对养老事业高质量发展的影响。
养老事业高质量发展的综合水平从 2013 年的 0.212 略微上升到 2019 年的 0.220，整体水平较低。东部地区的养老事业高质量发展水平最高（0.292），其次是西部地区（0.215），中部地区最低（0.151）。高-高集聚类型主要分布在东部地区；低-低集聚类型主要分布在西部地区和中部地区。经济发展和数字技术对养老事业高质量发展有显著的正向影响，而人口老龄化对养老事业高质量发展有显著的负向影响。
中国养老事业高质量发展存在显著的空间分异。为了促进养老事业高质量发展，有必要通过进行高质量发展评价来识别发展差距，并注重那些对维持可持续经济发展至关重要的指标，发展数字技术，以摆脱这些差距。
