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不投资未来 1000 天的代价:对政策和实践的影响。

The cost of not investing in the next 1000 days: implications for policy and practice.

机构信息

National Institute for Early Education Research, Rutgers Graduate School of Education, New Brunswick, NJ, USA.

Department of Economics, University of San Andres, Buenos Aires, Argentina.

出版信息

Lancet. 2024 Nov 23;404(10467):2117-2130. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(24)01390-4. Epub 2024 Nov 18.

DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(24)01390-4
PMID:39571590
Abstract

Building on the evidence from the first paper in this Series highlighting the fundamental importance of healthy and nurturing environments for children's growth and development in the next 1000 days (ages 2-5 years), this paper summarises the benefits and costs of key strategies to support children's development in this age range. The next 1000 days build on the family-based and health-sector based interventions provided in the first 1000 days and require broader multisectoral programming. Interventions that have been shown to be particularly effective in this age range are the provision of early childhood care and education (ECCE), parenting interventions, and cash transfers. We show that a minimum package of 1 year of ECCE for all children would cost on average less than 0·15% of low-income and middle-income countries' current gross domestic product. The societal cost of not implementing this package at a national and global level (ie, the cost of inaction) is large, with an estimated forgone benefit of 8-19 times the cost of investing in ECCE. We discuss implications of the overall evidence presented in this Series for policy and practice, highlighting the potential of ECCE programming in the next 1000 days as an intervention itself, as well as a platform to deliver developmental screening, growth monitoring, and additional locally required interventions. Providing nurturing care during this period is crucial for maintaining and further boosting children's progress in the first 1000 days, and to allow children to reach optimal developmental trajectories from a socioecological life-course perspective.

摘要

在本系列第一篇论文强调健康和培养环境对儿童在接下来的 1000 天(2-5 岁)内成长和发展的基本重要性的基础上,本文总结了支持这一年龄段儿童发展的关键策略的收益和成本。接下来的 1000 天建立在第一个 1000 天中提供的基于家庭和卫生部门的干预措施的基础上,需要更广泛的多部门规划。在这一年龄段被证明特别有效的干预措施包括提供幼儿保育和教育(ECCE)、育儿干预和现金转移。我们表明,为所有儿童提供至少 1 年的 ECCE 的平均成本不到低收入和中等收入国家目前国内生产总值的 0.15%。在国家和全球层面不实施这一方案的社会成本(即不作为的成本)是巨大的,预计放弃投资 ECCE 的收益是投入成本的 8-19 倍。我们讨论了本系列中提出的整体证据对政策和实践的影响,强调了在接下来的 1000 天内 ECCE 规划作为一种干预措施本身,以及作为提供发展筛查、生长监测和其他本地所需干预措施的平台的潜力。在这一时期提供养育关怀对于维持和进一步促进儿童在前 1000 天的进步至关重要,并且从社会生态生命历程的角度来看,允许儿童达到最佳的发展轨迹。

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引用本文的文献

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Child Care Health Dev. 2025 Jul;51(4):e70138. doi: 10.1111/cch.70138.
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Nourishing Beginnings: A Community-Based Participatory Research Approach to Food Security and Healthy Diets for the "Forgotten" Pre-School Children in South Africa.滋养起点:一种基于社区参与式研究方法,旨在解决南非“被遗忘”的学前儿童的粮食安全和健康饮食问题。
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2025 Jun 18;22(6):958. doi: 10.3390/ijerph22060958.
3
The next 1000 days: building on early investments for the health and development of young children.
未来 1000 天:在早期投资的基础上,促进幼儿的健康和发展。
Lancet. 2024 Nov 23;404(10467):2094-2116. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(24)01389-8. Epub 2024 Nov 18.