Dept. of Animal Sci., Faculty of Agriculture, Bingöl University, Bingöl, Türkiye.
Dept. of Animal Sci., Faculty of Agriculture, Bursa Uludağ University, Bursa, Türkiye.
PLoS One. 2024 Nov 22;19(11):e0307037. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0307037. eCollection 2024.
This study was conducted to determine the live weight model of the broiler chicks by using the most appropriate mathematical growth curves. Live weights were used in broiler chicks grown for 0-6 weeks. Logistics, Gompertz, Weibull, Hossfeld and Von Bertalanffy models and multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) data mining algorithm were used to define the live weights of the chickens. In the comparison of the models, the determination coefficient (R2), mean square error (MSE), Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC) and Schwarz Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) values were used. As a result of the study, it is seen that Gompertz model is the best model to define live weight of the broilers in the Gompertz model, R2, MSE, RMSE, AIC, BIC and growth rates for male broiler were 0.9998, 470.570, 21.681, 68.750, 68.934 and 0.241, respectively. The actual measured live weight values and the weight values estimated by Logistics, Gompertz, Weibull, Hossfeld, Von Bertalanffy models and MARS algorithm are close and in harmony with each other in the graph. However, the weight values estimated from the MARS algorithm are much closer to the observed live weight values. The represent study also demonstrated a very high predictive performance of the MARS data mining algorithm for describing the growth of chicken. In conclusion, MARS algorithm can be a good alternative for breeders aiming at describing the weight-age relationship of broiler chickens.
本研究旨在通过使用最合适的数学生长曲线来确定肉鸡雏鸡的活体重量模型。活体重量用于生长 0-6 周的肉鸡雏鸡。使用逻辑斯谛、龚珀兹、威布尔、霍斯费尔德和冯·贝塔朗菲生长曲线模型以及多元自适应回归样条(MARS)数据挖掘算法来定义鸡的活体重量。在模型比较中,使用决定系数(R2)、均方误差(MSE)、赤池信息量准则(AIC)和施瓦茨贝叶斯信息准则(BIC)值。研究结果表明,在龚珀兹模型中,龚珀兹模型是定义肉鸡活体重量的最佳模型,雄性肉鸡的 R2、MSE、RMSE、AIC、BIC 和生长速率分别为 0.9998、470.570、21.681、68.750、68.934 和 0.241。实际测量的活体重量值和通过逻辑斯谛、龚珀兹、威布尔、霍斯费尔德、冯·贝塔朗菲模型和 MARS 算法估计的重量值在图中非常接近且相互协调。然而,MARS 算法估计的重量值与观察到的活体重量值更为接近。该研究还表明,MARS 数据挖掘算法对描述鸡的生长具有非常高的预测性能。总之,MARS 算法可以作为描述肉鸡体重-年龄关系的一种很好的选择,可供饲养者使用。