Radford-Smith Julian, Lai Hao Ran, Weeren Ella Cathcart-van, Dwyer John M
School of the Environment, The University of Queensland, St Lucia, Queensland, Australia.
Centre for Integrative Ecology, School of Biological Sciences, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand.
Ecol Lett. 2024 Nov;27(11):e70014. doi: 10.1111/ele.70014.
Understanding the role of climate in the assembly of rainforest tree communities is informative for predicting how future climates will impact species and communities. We surveyed rainforest tree communities across the Australian subtropics (spanning 600 to 2500 mm rainfall year) and measured functional traits on 285 (91%) of all recorded species. We used principal component analysis to create axes approximating species' hydraulic strategies, leaf economics and stature and included these as predictors in joint species distribution models, along with traits describing dispersal ability and leaf phenology. Hydraulic strategy and leaf phenology strongly modulated species' occurrence trends along the moisture availability gradient, while stature and leaf economics modulated species' responses to minimum temperature and soil variables, respectively. Overall, we quantify the occurrence trends of almost half of Australia's subtropical rainforest tree species based on their functional traits, providing a general foundation for prediction under ongoing climate change.
了解气候在雨林树木群落组装中的作用,有助于预测未来气候将如何影响物种和群落。我们调查了澳大利亚亚热带地区(年降雨量为600至2500毫米)的雨林树木群落,并对所有记录物种中的285种(占91%)测量了功能性状。我们使用主成分分析来创建近似物种水力策略、叶片经济学和树高的轴,并将这些作为联合物种分布模型中的预测因子,同时纳入描述扩散能力和叶片物候的性状。水力策略和叶片物候强烈调节了物种沿水分可利用性梯度的出现趋势,而树高和叶片经济学分别调节了物种对最低温度和土壤变量的响应。总体而言,我们根据功能性状量化了澳大利亚近一半亚热带雨林树种的出现趋势,为在当前气候变化下进行预测提供了一个通用基础。