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每两小时进行一次公共区域表面消毒,可将机场诺如病毒的感染风险降低多达83%。

Public surface disinfection every 2 hours can reduce the infection risk of norovirus in airports up to 83.

作者信息

Zhang Nan, Zhuang Linan, King Marco-Felipe, Qian Hua, Zhu Min

机构信息

Beijing Key Laboratory of Green Built Environment and Energy Efficient Technology, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, China.

School of Civil Engineering, University of Leeds, Woodhouse Lane, Leeds, United Kingdom.

出版信息

PLoS Comput Biol. 2024 Dec 5;20(12):e1012561. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012561. eCollection 2024 Dec.

Abstract

Norovirus, primarily transmitted via fomite route, poses a significant threat to global public health and the economy. Airports, as critical transportation hubs connecting people from around the world, has high potential risk of norovirus transmission due to large number of public surfaces. A total of 21.3 hours of video episodes were recorded across nine functional areas at the airport, capturing 25,925 touches. A surface transmission model based on a Markov chain was developed. Using the beta-Poisson dose-response model, the infection risk of norovirus and the effectiveness of various interventions in different airports' areas were quantified. Without any preventive measures, restaurants at airports exhibited the highest risk of norovirus transmission, with an infection probability of 8.8×10-3% (95% CI, 1.5×10-3% -2.1×10-2%). This means approximately 4.6 (95% CI, 0.8-10.9) out of 51,494 passengers who entered the restaurants would be infected by an infected passenger. Comparing with no surface disinfection, disinfecting public surfaces every 2 hours can reduce the risk of norovirus infection per visit to the airport by 83.2%. In contrast, comparing with no hand washing, handwashing every 2 hours can reduce the infection risk per visit to the airport by only 2.0%, making public surface disinfection significantly more effective than handwashing. If the mask-wearing rate increases from 0% to 50%, the infection risk of norovirus would be decreased by 48.0% (95% CI, 43.5-52.3%). Furthermore, using antimicrobial copper/copper-nickel alloy coatings for most public surfaces could reduce the infection risk by 15.9%-99.2%.

摘要

诺如病毒主要通过污染物传播途径传播,对全球公共卫生和经济构成重大威胁。机场作为连接世界各地人员的重要交通枢纽,由于存在大量公共表面,诺如病毒传播的潜在风险很高。在机场的九个功能区域共记录了21.3小时的视频片段,捕捉到25925次触摸。建立了基于马尔可夫链的表面传播模型。使用β-泊松剂量反应模型,对不同机场区域诺如病毒的感染风险和各种干预措施的有效性进行了量化。在没有任何预防措施的情况下,机场餐厅诺如病毒传播风险最高,感染概率为8.8×10⁻³%(95%可信区间,1.5×10⁻³% - 2.1×10⁻²%)。这意味着进入餐厅的51494名乘客中,约有4.6人(95%可信区间,0.8 - 10.9)会被一名受感染乘客感染。与不进行表面消毒相比,每2小时对公共表面进行消毒可将每次前往机场感染诺如病毒的风险降低83.2%。相比之下,与不洗手相比,每2小时洗手只能将每次前往机场的感染风险降低2.0%,这表明公共表面消毒比洗手的效果显著得多。如果戴口罩率从0%提高到50%,诺如病毒的感染风险将降低48.0%(95%可信区间,43.5 - 52.3%)。此外,在大多数公共表面使用抗菌铜/铜镍合金涂层可将感染风险降低15.9% - 99.2%。

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