Sempos C T, Johnson N E, Smith E L, Gilligan C
Am J Epidemiol. 1985 Jan;121(1):120-30. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a113974.
In this study 5,115 daily diet records were collected from 151 women on two randomly selected days per sampling month (29 days) over a two-year period. Yearly estimates of the ratios of intraindividual (sigma w2) and interindividual (sigma b2) variance components were calculated for dietary intake of 15 nutrients and for dietary intake + vitamin/mineral supplements. From one year to the next, corresponding ratios of sigma w2/sigma b2 were nearly identical. Intraindividual variation in dietary intake of all 15 nutrients was greater than interindividual variation (sigma w2/sigma b2 greater than 1). Variance component ratios for highly supplemented nutrients such as iron, vitamin C and B vitamins were less than one (sigma w2/sigma b2 less than 1). Using the ratios of sigma w2/sigma b2, it was calculated that between six and 99 repeated records measuring dietary intake and between two and 31 records measuring total intake may be needed per individual to ensure that the estimate of the population correlation (rho DF) between an individual's "usual" dietary intake or total intake of a dietary risk factor and an individual's mean or usual level of a physiologic risk factor was within 10% of the true population correlation coefficient (rho xy). It was also found that twice as many dietary records per individual were required to estimate the population slope (beta xy) within 10%. These results have serious implications for the design and analysis of prospective nutritional studies.
在本研究中,在两年时间里,从151名女性中收集了5115份每日饮食记录,每个采样月(29天)随机选取两天。计算了15种营养素饮食摄入量以及饮食摄入量加维生素/矿物质补充剂的个体内(σw2)和个体间(σb2)方差成分比率的年度估计值。从一年到下一年,σw2/σb2的相应比率几乎相同。所有15种营养素饮食摄入量的个体内变异大于个体间变异(σw2/σb2大于1)。铁、维生素C和B族维生素等高补充营养素的方差成分比率小于1(σw2/σb2小于1)。利用σw2/σb2的比率计算得出,为确保个体“通常”饮食摄入量或饮食风险因素总摄入量与个体生理风险因素的平均或通常水平之间的总体相关性(ρDF)估计值在真实总体相关系数(ρxy)的10%以内,每个个体可能需要6至99份测量饮食摄入量的重复记录以及2至31份测量总摄入量的记录。还发现,要使总体斜率(βxy)的估计值在10%以内,每个个体所需的饮食记录数量要多一倍。这些结果对前瞻性营养研究的设计和分析具有重要意义。