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莫努匹韦对74541例新冠病毒阳性患者30天死亡率的实际临床疗效:来自捷克共和国的一项全国性队列研究。

Real Clinical Effectiveness of Molnupiravir Against 30-day Mortality Among 74 541 SARS-CoV-2-Positive Patients: A Nationwide Cohort Study From the Czech Republic.

作者信息

Pavlík Tomáš, Jarkovský Jiří, Šanca Ondřej, Koziar Vašáková Martina, Dlouhý Pavel, Černý Vladimír, Štourač Petr, Válek Vlastimil, Dušek Ladislav

机构信息

Institute of Biostatistics and Analyses, Faculty of Medicine, Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic.

Department of Data Analysis, Institute of Health Information and Statistics of the Czech Republic, Prague, Czech Republic.

出版信息

Open Forum Infect Dis. 2024 Nov 20;11(12):ofae685. doi: 10.1093/ofid/ofae685. eCollection 2024 Dec.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

We examined the clinical effectiveness of molnupiravir in reducing deaths in a real-world cohort of adult patients with COVID-19 during the Omicron outbreak.

METHODS

This was a population-wide retrospective cohort study in the Czech Republic. We analyzed all 74 541 patients with an officially registered diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection between 1 January and 31 December 2022, aged 18 years or older, treated with molnupiravir. The primary outcome was 30-day all-cause mortality; the secondary outcome was 30-day COVID-19-related mortality. Hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated using stratified Cox regression and the Fine-Gray model.

RESULTS

The use of molnupiravir in adult SARS-CoV-2 positive patients was associated with a lower risk of both 30-day all-cause mortality: adjusted HR 0.58 (95% confidence interval, 0.53-0.64; < .001) and 30-day COVID-19-related mortality: adjusted HR 0.50 (95% confidence interval, 0.42-0.58; < .001). The effect of molnupiravir was highly significant regardless of sex, Deyo-Charlson Comorbidity Index score, hospitalization status, COVID-19 vaccination status, and patients older than age 65 years.

CONCLUSIONS

In this cohort study, early initiation of molnupiravir was associated with a significant reduction in 30-day all-cause and COVID-19-related mortality in adult SARS-CoV-2 positive patients.

摘要

背景

我们研究了莫努匹拉韦在奥密克戎毒株流行期间,降低成年新冠患者死亡人数方面的临床疗效。

方法

这是一项在捷克共和国开展的全人群回顾性队列研究。我们分析了2022年1月1日至12月31日期间,所有74541名年龄在18岁及以上、经官方登记确诊感染SARS-CoV-2且接受莫努匹拉韦治疗的患者。主要结局是30天全因死亡率;次要结局是30天新冠相关死亡率。使用分层Cox回归和Fine-Gray模型估计风险比(HR)。

结果

在成年SARS-CoV-2阳性患者中使用莫努匹拉韦,与30天全因死亡率降低风险相关:调整后HR为0.58(95%置信区间,0.53 - 0.64;P <.001),以及30天新冠相关死亡率降低风险相关:调整后HR为0.50(95%置信区间,0.42 - 0.58;P <.001)。无论性别、德约-查尔森合并症指数评分、住院状态、新冠疫苗接种状态以及年龄超过65岁的患者,莫努匹拉韦的效果都非常显著。

结论

在这项队列研究中,成年SARS-CoV-2阳性患者早期使用莫努匹拉韦,与30天全因死亡率和新冠相关死亡率显著降低相关。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1940/11630851/c514a00b8ed3/ofae685_ga.jpg

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