Alemu Sisay Mulugeta, Weitkamp Gerd, Tura Abera Kenay, Wong Kerry Lm, Stekelenburg Jelle, Biesma Regien
Global Health Unit, Department of Health Sciences, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, Groningen 9713 GZ, The Netherlands.
Department of Cultural Geography, Faculty of Spatial Sciences, University of Groningen, Groningen, Groningen 9747 AD, The Netherlands.
Health Policy Plan. 2025 Mar 7;40(3):358-367. doi: 10.1093/heapol/czae122.
While there is ample evidence of the overall reduction in perinatal and pregnancy-related mortality in Ethiopia, it remains uncertain if geographic disparities have diminished. This study aimed to investigate perinatal and pregnancy-related mortality spatial distributions, trends over time, and factors associated with the distribution in Ethiopia. We used data from Ethiopian Demographic and Health Surveys conducted in 2000, 2005, 2011, and 2016. In each survey, around 15 500 women aged 15-49 years were interviewed from about 550 neighborhoods randomly sampled from across the country. Perinatal and pregnancy-related mortality were used as outcome variables. We carried out an optimized hotspot analysis using the Getis-Ord Gi* statistic in ArcGIS Pro to identify the time trend of geographical clusters with high (hot spot) and low (cold spot) perinatal and pregnancy-related mortality. In addition, we conducted a geographically weighted Poisson regression in R to examine the factors associated with the spatial distribution of perinatal and pregnancy-related mortality. Perinatal and pregnancy-related mortality exhibited a clustering pattern, indicating the presence of geographic inequality, with a decreasing pattern from 2000 to 2016. We detected hotspot areas in developed administrative regions of Amhara, Oromia, and Southern Nations, indicating inequality within large regions. Inequality in perinatal mortality was associated with rural residence, younger age of women, and high birth rate, whereas pregnancy-related mortality was associated with low autonomy, younger age, and anemia. We found that anemia (P-value = .01) has a geographically varying relationship with perinatal mortality, while education (P-value = .03) and wealth (P-value = 0.01) are associated with pregnancy-related mortality. While there has been a reduction during the study period, geographical disparities in perinatal and pregnancy-related mortality still persist. Therefore, targeting intervention programs in areas where spatial inequalities still persist is essential for effectively utilizing scarce resources.
虽然有充分证据表明埃塞俄比亚围产期及与妊娠相关的死亡率总体有所下降,但地域差异是否缩小仍不确定。本研究旨在调查埃塞俄比亚围产期及与妊娠相关的死亡率的空间分布、随时间的趋势以及与分布相关的因素。我们使用了2000年、2005年、2011年和2016年进行的埃塞俄比亚人口与健康调查的数据。在每次调查中,从全国随机抽取的约550个社区中采访了约15500名15 - 49岁的女性。围产期及与妊娠相关的死亡率用作结局变量。我们在ArcGIS Pro中使用Getis-Ord Gi*统计量进行了优化的热点分析,以确定围产期及与妊娠相关的死亡率高(热点)和低(冷点)的地理集群的时间趋势。此外,我们在R中进行了地理加权泊松回归,以检查与围产期及与妊娠相关的死亡率空间分布相关的因素。围产期及与妊娠相关的死亡率呈现出聚集模式,表明存在地理不平等,且从2000年到2016年呈下降趋势。我们在阿姆哈拉、奥罗米亚和南方各族等发达行政区检测到了热点地区,表明大区域内存在不平等。围产期死亡率的不平等与农村居住、女性年龄较小和高出生率有关,而与妊娠相关的死亡率与低自主性、年轻年龄和贫血有关。我们发现贫血(P值 = 0.01)与围产期死亡率存在地理上不同的关系,而教育(P值 = 0.03)和财富(P值 = 0.01)与与妊娠相关的死亡率有关。虽然在研究期间有所下降,但围产期及与妊娠相关的死亡率的地理差异仍然存在。因此,针对空间不平等仍然存在的地区制定干预计划对于有效利用稀缺资源至关重要。