Averin Ahuva, Huebbe Bennet, Atwood Mark, Bayer Lea J, Lade Caroline, von Eiff Christof, Sato Reiko
HEOR, Avalere Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Value & Access Strategy, IGES Institute GmbH, Berlin, Germany.
Expert Rev Vaccines. 2025 Dec;24(1):1-10. doi: 10.1080/14760584.2024.2436183. Epub 2024 Dec 18.
Among older adults, lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) caused by respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is common. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of bivalent RSV prefusion F protein-based vaccine (RSVpreF) for prevention of RSV-LRTI among older adults in Germany.
A static cohort model was developed to estimate lifetime health and economic outcomes of RSV-LRTI among adults aged 60-99 years in Germany, with (vs. without) use of RSVpreF. Vaccine uptake ranged from 27% to 54%. Vaccine effectiveness was derived from trial data and was assumed to last over 3 years, with some waning, following vaccination. Base case analyses were conducted from the societal perspective (costs/benefits discounted 3% annually); sensitivity analyses also were conducted.
Among adults aged 60-99 years ( = 25.3 M), RSVpreF prevented 117,360 cases of hospitalized RSV-LRTI, 100,433 cases of ambulatory RSV-LRTI, and 9,298 RSV-LRTI-related deaths over a lifetime horizon. With total overall costs higher by 1.8 € billion and 49,576 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained, cost-effectiveness of RSVpreF was 36,064 €/QALY. In probabilistic sensitivity analyses, the mean cost-effectiveness ratio was 36,518 €/QALY; 925 of 1,000 replications yielded ratios <50,000 €/QALY.
RSVpreF has the potential to greatly reduce the public health and economic burden of RSV among older adults in Germany.
在老年人中,呼吸道合胞病毒(RSV)引起的下呼吸道感染(LRTI)很常见。我们评估了基于二价RSV预融合F蛋白的疫苗(RSVpreF)在德国老年人中预防RSV-LRTI的成本效益。
建立了一个静态队列模型,以估计德国60-99岁成年人中使用(与不使用)RSVpreF的RSV-LRTI的终身健康和经济结果。疫苗接种率在27%至54%之间。疫苗有效性来自试验数据,并假设在接种疫苗后持续3年以上,且有一定程度的减弱。从社会角度进行了基本案例分析(成本/效益按每年3%贴现);还进行了敏感性分析。
在60-99岁的成年人(n = 2530万)中,RSVpreF在整个生命周期内预防了117360例住院的RSV-LRTI、100433例门诊的RSV-LRTI以及9298例与RSV-LRTI相关的死亡。总总成本高出18亿欧元,获得了49576个质量调整生命年(QALY),RSVpreF的成本效益为36064欧元/QALY。在概率敏感性分析中,平均成本效益比为3651欧元/QALY;1000次重复中有925次产生的比值<50000欧元/QALY。
RSVpreF有可能大大减轻德国老年人中RSV的公共卫生和经济负担。