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模拟在英国大规模推广“少喝”应用程序对健康、健康经济和健康不平等的潜在影响。

Modeling the Potential Health, Health Economic, and Health Inequality Impact of a Large-Scale Rollout of the Drink Less App in England.

作者信息

Angus Colin, Oldham Melissa, Burton Robyn, Dina Larisa-Maria, Field Matt, Hickman Mattew, Kaner Eileen, Loebenberg Gemma, Munafò Marcus, Pizzo Elena, Brown Jamie, Garnett Claire

机构信息

School of Medicine and Population Health, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, England, UK.

Department of Behavioural Science and Health, University College London, London, England, UK.

出版信息

Value Health. 2025 Feb;28(2):215-223. doi: 10.1016/j.jval.2024.11.007. Epub 2024 Dec 16.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Alcohol places a significant burden on the National Health Service (NHS); yet, uptake of cost-effective approaches remains low. Digital interventions may overcome some barriers to delivery. The Drink Less app has evidence of being effective at supporting heavier drinkers to reduce their alcohol intake. In this study, we estimate the longer-term health impacts, cost-effectiveness, and health inequality impact of a large-scale rollout of the Drink Less app.

METHODS

We used the Sheffield Alcohol Policy Model to estimate changes in alcohol consumption, hospital admissions, mortality, and NHS costs of 2 rollout scenarios over a 20-year time horizon: (1) a mass media awareness campaign and (2) a targeted drive to embed referral to Drink Less within primary care. We modeled the cost-effectiveness and inequality impact of each approach in a distributional cost-effectiveness analysis.

RESULTS

A mass media campaign is estimated to reduce per capita alcohol consumption by 0.07 units/week and avert 108 556 hospital admissions and 2606 deaths over 20 years, gaining 24 787 quality-adjusted life-years at a net saving to the NHS of £417 million. Embedding in primary care is estimated to reduce consumption by 0.13 units/week, saving 188 452 admissions and 4599 deaths and gaining 38 897 quality-adjusted life-years at a net saving of £590 million. Both scenarios are estimated to reduce health inequalities, with a larger reduction for the primary care approach.

CONCLUSIONS

A large-scale rollout of the Drink Less app is estimated to be health improving, cost saving, and reducing health inequalities. Embedding the use of Drink Less within primary care is likely to be the more effective approach.

摘要

目标

酒精给国民医疗服务体系(NHS)带来了沉重负担;然而,具有成本效益的方法的采用率仍然很低。数字干预措施可能会克服一些实施障碍。“少饮酒”应用程序有证据表明在支持饮酒量较大者减少酒精摄入量方面是有效的。在本研究中,我们估计了大规模推广“少饮酒”应用程序对长期健康的影响、成本效益以及健康不平等影响。

方法

我们使用谢菲尔德酒精政策模型来估计在20年时间范围内两种推广方案下酒精消费、住院人数、死亡率和NHS成本的变化:(1)大规模媒体宣传活动;(2)有针对性地推动在初级保健中引入对“少饮酒”应用程序的推荐。我们在分布成本效益分析中对每种方法的成本效益和不平等影响进行了建模。

结果

据估计,大规模媒体宣传活动可使人均酒精消费量每周减少0.07单位,在20年内避免108556例住院和2606例死亡,获得24787个质量调整生命年,为NHS节省4.17亿英镑的净成本。在初级保健中引入该应用程序估计可使消费量每周减少0.13单位,节省188452例住院和4599例死亡,并获得38897个质量调整生命年,净节省5.9亿英镑。两种方案估计都能减少健康不平等,初级保健方法的减少幅度更大。

结论

据估计,大规模推广“少饮酒”应用程序可改善健康、节省成本并减少健康不平等。在初级保健中使用“少饮酒”应用程序可能是更有效的方法。

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