L'Huillier Joseph C, Nordin Andrew B, Nair Veer V, Cantor Brittany L, Tadlock Bryan, Friend Brianna, Boccardo Joseph D, Yu Jihnhee, Lukan James, Lillvis Denise F, Bass Kathryn D
Department of Surgery, Jacobs School of Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, University at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, USA.
Division of Health Services Policy and Practice, Department of Epidemiology and Environmental Health, School of Public Health and Health Professions, University at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, USA.
Am Surg. 2025 Apr;91(4):593-599. doi: 10.1177/00031348241300363. Epub 2024 Dec 24.
ObjectivesIn 2020, the public health crises of gun violence and novel coronavirus (COVID-19) collided and interventions to decrease COVID-19 transmission displaced millions of Americans from normal activity. We analyzed the effects of COVID-19 and its resultant shutdowns on gun violence in Buffalo, NY.MethodsWe queried the Gun Violence Archive (GVA) and the hospital databases from the 2 level 1 trauma centers which serve Buffalo firearm victims between March 15th and June 24th, 2020 ("COVID") and the same time period for years 2013 (hospital data)/2014 (GVA data) through 2019 ("pre-COVID") and 2021 through 2022 ("post-COVID"). Data points collected included number of daily victims, victim age, gender, and morbidity/mortality. Bivariate and multivariate analyses were used to compare gun violence in these 3 periods.ResultsThere were 518 and 913 victims in the GVA and hospital data sets, respectively. Bivariate analyses showed fewer incidents on Saturdays during the pandemic in both data sets ( < 0.05). Multivariate analyses demonstrated no association between number of gun violence victims and time period in either data set ( > 0.05).ConclusionsThere was no change in number of gun violence victims during the COVID-19 shutdowns compared to pre-COVID and post-COVID periods in Buffalo, NY. However, there was a change in the weekly temporality of gun violence during the COVID pandemic. Multiple databases are needed to accurately capture gun violence from an epidemiologic perspective.
目标
2020年，枪支暴力和新型冠状病毒（COVID-19）引发的公共卫生危机相互交织，为减少COVID-19传播而采取的干预措施使数百万美国人无法正常活动。我们分析了COVID-19及其导致的封锁对纽约州布法罗市枪支暴力的影响。
方法
我们查询了枪支暴力档案库（GVA）以及为布法罗市枪支暴力受害者提供服务的2家一级创伤中心的医院数据库，数据涵盖2020年3月15日至6月24日（“COVID时期”），以及2013年（医院数据）/2014年（GVA数据）至2019年（“COVID前时期”）和2021年至2022年（“COVID后时期”）的同一时间段。收集的数据点包括每日受害者数量、受害者年龄、性别以及发病率/死亡率。采用双变量和多变量分析来比较这三个时期的枪支暴力情况。
结果
GVA和医院数据集中分别有518名和913名受害者。双变量分析显示，在这两个数据集中，疫情期间周六的事件较少（<0.05）。多变量分析表明，在任一数据集中，枪支暴力受害者数量与时间段之间均无关联（>0.05）。
结论
与纽约州布法罗市COVID前和COVID后时期相比，在COVID-19封锁期间，枪支暴力受害者数量没有变化。然而，在COVID疫情期间，枪支暴力的每周时间模式发生了变化。需要多个数据库才能从流行病学角度准确掌握枪支暴力情况。
