Guo Beibei, Liu Suyu
Department of Experimental Statistics, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, Louisiana, USA.
Department of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, USA.
Pharm Stat. 2025 Mar-Apr;24(2):e2461. doi: 10.1002/pst.2461. Epub 2024 Dec 25.
Conventional Phase I trial designs assign a single dose to each patient, necessitating a minimum number of patients per dose to reliably identify the maximum tolerated dose (MTD). However, in many clinical trials, such as those involving pediatric patients or patients with rare cancers, recruiting an adequate number of patients can pose challenges, limiting the applicability of standard trial designs. To address this challenge, we propose a new Phase I dose-finding design, denoted as IP-CRM, that integrates intra-patient dose escalation with the continual reassessment method (CRM). In the IP-CRM design, intra-patient dose escalation is allowed, guided by both individual patients' toxicity outcomes and accumulated data across patients, and the starting dose for each cohort of patients is adaptively updated. We further extend the IP-CRM design to address carryover effects and/or intra-patient correlations. Due to the potential for each patient to contribute multiple data points at varying doses owing to intra-patient dose escalation, the IP-CRM design offers the advantage of determining the MTD with a considerably reduced sample size compared to standard Phase I dose-finding designs. Simulation studies show that our IP-CRM design can efficiently reduce sample size while concurrently enhancing the probability of identifying the MTD when compared with standard CRM designs and the 3 + 3 design.
传统的I期试验设计为每位患者分配单一剂量,因此每个剂量需要最少数量的患者以可靠地确定最大耐受剂量(MTD)。然而,在许多临床试验中,例如涉及儿科患者或罕见癌症患者的试验,招募足够数量的患者可能会面临挑战,从而限制了标准试验设计的适用性。为应对这一挑战,我们提出了一种新的I期剂量探索设计,称为IP-CRM,它将患者内剂量递增与连续重新评估方法(CRM)相结合。在IP-CRM设计中,允许患者内剂量递增,这由个体患者的毒性结果和患者间积累的数据共同指导,并且每个患者队列的起始剂量会自适应更新。我们进一步扩展了IP-CRM设计以解决残留效应和/或患者内相关性。由于患者内剂量递增可能使每位患者在不同剂量下贡献多个数据点,与标准I期剂量探索设计相比,IP-CRM设计具有以显著减少的样本量确定MTD的优势。模拟研究表明,与标准CRM设计和3+3设计相比,我们的IP-CRM设计能够有效减少样本量,同时提高确定MTD的概率。