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审视全球生物多样性账户:多区域投入产出分析中基本流动的汇总特征因子的影响。

Examining global biodiversity accounts: Implications of aggregating characterization factors from elementary flows in multi-regional input-output analysis.

作者信息

Davin Killian, Koslowski Maximilian, Dorber Martin, Hertwich Edgar

机构信息

Industrial Ecology Programme, Department of Energy and Process Engineering Norwegian University of Science and Technology Trondheim Norway.

出版信息

J Ind Ecol. 2024 Dec;28(6):1422-1434. doi: 10.1111/jiec.13556. Epub 2024 Oct 8.

Abstract

Extending multi-regional input-output (MRIO) models with spatially explicit life cycle impact assessment (LCIA) models allows practitioners to quantify biodiversity impacts at every step of global supply chains. Inconsistencies may be introduced, however, when high-resolution characterization factors (CFs) are aggregated so as to match the low spatial granularity of MRIO models. These aggregation errors are greater when CFs are aggregated via proxies, such as ecoregion land shares, instead of based on spatially explicit elementary stressor flows. Here, we describe our approach to tailoring application-specific CFs for use in MRIO studies. We apply a global agricultural production model, Spatial Production Allocation Model (MapSPAM), with the LCIA database, LC-IMPACT, to create crop-specific national CFs. We investigated i) if the differing aggregation approaches and the increased spatial explicitness of the constructed CFs deviate substantially from those in LC-IMPACT, and ii) what the resulting consequences for national production and consumption-based biodiversity footprints are when combining the tailor-made CFs with the EXIOBASE MRIO model. For the year 2020, we observe an increase in global production-based biodiversity impacts of 23.5% for land use when employing crop-specific CFs.

摘要

将多区域投入产出(MRIO)模型与空间明确的生命周期影响评估(LCIA)模型相结合,使从业者能够量化全球供应链各环节对生物多样性的影响。然而,当高分辨率特征因子(CFs)进行汇总以匹配MRIO模型的低空间粒度时,可能会引入不一致性。当通过代理(如生态区域土地份额)而不是基于空间明确的基本压力源流来汇总CFs时,这些汇总误差会更大。在此,我们描述了为MRIO研究量身定制特定应用CFs的方法。我们将全球农业生产模型——空间生产分配模型(MapSPAM)与LCIA数据库LC-IMPACT相结合,以创建特定作物的国家CFs。我们研究了:i)构建的CFs在汇总方法和空间明确性增加方面是否与LC-IMPACT中的CFs有显著偏差;ii)将量身定制的CFs与EXIOBASE MRIO模型相结合时,对基于国家生产和消费的生物多样性足迹会产生什么后果。对于2020年,我们观察到,采用特定作物的CFs时,全球基于生产的土地利用对生物多样性的影响增加了23.5%。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/43f2/11667647/9226fdbb1b20/JIEC-28-1422-g003.jpg

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